Can one be 100% confident in completing an act? if there is .00000001% risk?
Debate Rounds (1)
I completely disagree with madcusbad17. Lets take a different bridge for example. This bridge is very short, and is made of brand new wood. The drop from the bridge to the ground is 1 ft, and the only fault in the bridge is that the gap between the middle piece of wood and the one to the right of it is .5ft. However, the structure is still strong. So according to madcusbad17, there is a potential risk, and in this case, its falling in a gap that is only half a foot long. So there is the RISK of putting your foot in the gap and falling down .5ft, but then are you telling me that one could not be 100% confident in being able to cross that bridge just because of a gap that is .5ft wide? Even if the risk in that case is 1% because of the gap, one can assume, with 100% confidence that, even though there is a .5ft gap, there is no way this can stop him or her from crossing the bridge. Even if there are many other, more dangerous, variables in the way.
Semantics: You are using the word confidence in a manner that does not apply to statistics. In statistics the term confidence means "if you repeated this situation infinite numbers of times, how accurate will this statistic be in predicting the outcome." You are trying to claim "well, regardless of what I already know to be true, I possess never ending confidence in myself, therefore the statistics do not apply". Essentially, you admit that the only way you can have the 100% confidence is if you lie to yourself. You even state it in your opening paragraph, "....even though there IS A POSSIBILITY that one could fall off the bridge.....". Right there, you essentially say that you can not have 100% confidence in crossing the bridge an infinite number of times. Which brings me to....
Math: ANY statistic when compared to infinity approaches one (or 100%). So no matter how small the odds are, when compared to infinity, they become certainties. Think about your question this way, instead of saying "no matter how small the odds are of me falling off the bridge when I cross it once...." ask it like this: "If I were to cross this bridge an INFINITE number of times, would I fall off at least once for any potential reason?" The obvious answer is yes, therefore, you may not intelligently claim to possess 100% confidence.
No votes have been placed for this debate.
You are not eligible to vote on this debate
This debate has been configured to only allow voters who meet the requirements set by the debaters. This debate either has an Elo score requirement or is to be voted on by a select panel of judges.