The Instigator
flippypie
Pro (for)
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The Contender
NotMyActualName.exe
Con (against)
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0 Points

If Donald Trump becomes president he will be able to force Mexico to pay for the wall

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Voting Style: Open Point System: 7 Point
Started: 4/5/2016 Category: Politics
Updated: 1 year ago Status: Post Voting Period
Viewed: 366 times Debate No: 89200
Debate Rounds (3)
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flippypie

Pro

If Donald Trump becomes president, it will be very easy for him to force Mexico to build/pay for the wall.

I'll give one way DT could do this:

He could threaten to place a trade embargo on Mexico. The US is one of Mexico's most fruitful trade partners. 78.8% of Mexico's exports are to the US, and 49.1% of Mexico's imports are from the US. The next largest import partner is China with only 16.1%. If a trade embargo were to be placed on Mexico, it would lose its largest trade partner and it's economy would plummet. This is definitely something Mexico would want to prevent from happening.

So, if Donald Trump threatened Mexico to pay for and build the wall, saying he would put in place a trade embargo, it would be dumb of Mexico to decline. If would hurt Mexico more to lose their primary trade partner than it would to lose 10 billion dollars

(1) https://en.wikipedia.org...
NotMyActualName.exe

Con

The thing is, the embargo won't do much. Sure, it will have an effect, but remember that Mexico has many trade partners, like Canada, Germany, Japan, China, South Korea, Spain, and Brazil. Also, it's 180 billion. I don't care it it is greater than the 10 billion you said, it is wrong. It's called debate, and this is officially in-bound.
Debate Round No. 1
flippypie

Pro

"Also, it's 180 billion." I am not quite sure what "it" is. Is "it" referring to the wall? Could you provide a source or two if it is?

Rebuttal
It appears as though you are underestimating the effect that an embargo could bring. Yes, Mexico has other trade partners, but the US is the primary one. 80.6%* of exports out of Mexico are to the US. 48.8%* of imports are from the US, with the next largest import partners being China and Japan with a mere 16.6%* and 4.4%, respectively. Sure, Mexico would still have trade partners, but it would not be enough to maintain their economy.

If a trade embargo was placed on Mexico, it would be forced to concede and build the wall. If they didn't, their economy would likely crash and burn.

I would also like to correct my price of 10 billion USD to anywhere from 15-25 billion USD (2). 180 billion USD is much too high, though.

*Numbers have been updated according to a more valid source (1)

(1) https://www.cia.gov...
(2) http://www.cnbc.com...
NotMyActualName.exe

Con

Ok, sure, the embargo will have effect, more than what I assumed. But there is some negativity that might occur. First, the wall is going to stop illegal immigrants. What about the ones that want to emigrate and become legal immigrants. How would that work. Also, it isn't the presidents call to embargo a country unless Congress passes it, which I doubt they will. I mean, they will agree that this plan will help control the immigration population, but if Mexico doesn't agree, then he can't do much. It's all Congress that does the work. Donald Trump can't do anything more. And he can't control who is and isn't in Congress. It is up to the states to decide who is the House of Reps and Senate. Donald Trump simply doesn't have the power. That being said, Mexico won't agree with the terms.
Debate Round No. 2
flippypie

Pro

flippypie forfeited this round.
NotMyActualName.exe

Con

NotMyActualName.exe forfeited this round.
Debate Round No. 3
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