If Donald Trump becomes president he will be able to force Mexico to pay for the wall
Debate Rounds (3)
I'll give one way DT could do this:
He could threaten to place a trade embargo on Mexico. The US is one of Mexico's most fruitful trade partners. 78.8% of Mexico's exports are to the US, and 49.1% of Mexico's imports are from the US. The next largest import partner is China with only 16.1%. If a trade embargo were to be placed on Mexico, it would lose its largest trade partner and it's economy would plummet. This is definitely something Mexico would want to prevent from happening.
So, if Donald Trump threatened Mexico to pay for and build the wall, saying he would put in place a trade embargo, it would be dumb of Mexico to decline. If would hurt Mexico more to lose their primary trade partner than it would to lose 10 billion dollars
It appears as though you are underestimating the effect that an embargo could bring. Yes, Mexico has other trade partners, but the US is the primary one. 80.6%* of exports out of Mexico are to the US. 48.8%* of imports are from the US, with the next largest import partners being China and Japan with a mere 16.6%* and 4.4%, respectively. Sure, Mexico would still have trade partners, but it would not be enough to maintain their economy.
If a trade embargo was placed on Mexico, it would be forced to concede and build the wall. If they didn't, their economy would likely crash and burn.
I would also like to correct my price of 10 billion USD to anywhere from 15-25 billion USD (2). 180 billion USD is much too high, though.
*Numbers have been updated according to a more valid source (1)
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