Jeb Bush 2016
Debate Rounds (3)
than much of the other candidates. Both other
Bushes successfully ran the great country of the
United States of America. I also imagine a Republican
will win the 2016 nomination.
I am going to address my opponent's claims in the reverse order, beginning with the assertion that a Republican candidate will win the White House in 2016.
The first problem any Republican candidate will have in their path to the White House is the bombastic Donald Trump. At the first GOP debate on August 6, 2015, Trump made abundantly clear the fact that he would consider a third-party candidacy. If he were to lose the GOP nomination and follow through with this idea, he would take with him a burgeoning base of supporters, summarily dividing the Republican Party and all but squandering their hopes of obtaining the required 270 votes needed from the Electoral College. In an alternate scenario, one in which Trump does indeed secure the GOP nomination, his Achilles heel then becomes his unfavorability ratings: a staggering 56% among American adults (1). It is simply unfeasible for any candidate to overcome such an overwhelmingly negative public sentiment.
But regardless of which candidate the GOP selects, there will also be their perennial obstacles: most Republican supporters are white (2), wealthy (3), straight, male, and Christian, demographics which only encompass a portion of American society. In addition to these existing issues, a new one has emerged: a Pew study also discovered that young people were more inclined to adopt liberal political beliefs and to support the Democratic Party (4). With younger generations siding by and large against the GOP--coupled with the fact that most Republican voters are older and, quite literally, beginning to die off--and a slew of other distressing demographic disparities, the likelihood of the Republicans garnering the necessary support to win the White House in 2016 is unlikely.
My opponent has claimed that both Bushes were successful leaders of our country. A Gallup poll documenting the approval ratings of our Presidents, dating as far back as Harry Truman, shows that, while George H. W. Bush enjoyed fairly high approval ratings as a whole--an average of 60.9%--he and his son alike both saw astonishingly low approval ratings at the end of their term, with the elder Bush having a mere 29% approval rate and his son a 25% approval rate, the fourth and third lowest, respectively, on the list. (5)
Under George H. W. Bush's administration, the national deficit increased by over 1 trillion dollars, the United States invaded Panama, (6) and unemployment rose steadily throughout his term, rising nearly a full 2% by the time he left office (7).
But while the quality of George H. W. Bush's leadership is open to some interpretation, there is no argument to be made in favor of George W. Bush's presidency as a success. Under his administration, merely 1.1 million jobs were created, and in the last 5 months of his term, unemployment skyrocketed nearly 1.5%, all of which can be largely attribute to his deregulation of Wall Street. Bush also turned the $1.9 trillion surplus Clinton had generated into a $1.5 trillion deficit. In addition to these economic failures, Bush also compromised certain American liberties, such as privacy, with the implementation of the Patriot Act in the wake of 9/11. (8) Furthermore, there is a laundry list of curious, if not utterly terrible and ridiculous, occurrences under the second Bush's administration: the indefinite detention of prisoners at Guantanamo Bay and the denial of their right to due process, abandoning the Kyoto Protocol, trillions of dollars wasted on wars in the Middle East, ignoring multiple warnings about the 9/11 terrorist attacks, a failed emergency response to Hurricane Katrina, et cetera, et cetera. (6)
Now, to the crux of the argument: Jeb Bush would be a subpar President at best and an iteration of his brother at the worst. Jeb has publicly stated that he too would have authorized the Iraq War, and has also spoken out in favor of the Patriot Act. His potential Presidency would be a continuation of his brother's failed policies, paired with the same opposition to gay marriage, rejection of stricter gun control laws, and vehement climate change denial. The implementation of policies of the past and an unwillingness to move forward can spell detriment for any country. Much in the same way sharks must keep swimming forward so they do not die, nations must keep moving forward so they do not crumble. All of this, however, does not take into account Jeb Bush's lackluster record as the governor of Florida. During his gubernatorial time, he exhibited flippant disregard for civil liberties and civil rights. He intruded intensely in the Terri Schiavo case, forcing government involvement in a fundamentally private matter, and he appointed attorneys for the fetus of a disabled woman who had been raped, but not for the disabled woman herself (9). A man who will impose his own personal will on the public is not a man fit to run for office, let alone one who would be considered a great leader. Bush has also pointed out the economic growth Florida saw while he was in office, but much of this was fueled by a housing bubble that burst as he left office, following which the Floridian economy careened into a downward spiral. Over a third of Florida"s growth was a result of Bush's increased construction and real estate activity, and sixty-percent of the job growth Bush boasts about today was eliminated when the housing bubble burst, plunging Florida into a recession even more severe than the national one caused by his brother (10).
All of these factors, in addition to the legacies of his father and brother from whom he would certainly receive counsel, provide an idea of what a Jeb Bush era in the White House would look like: economic downturns, infringement on civil rights, a continued lack of action toward climate change, so on and so forth.
(7)http://portalseven.com... Herbert Walker Bush
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