The Instigator
GWindeknecht1
Pro (for)
Winning
14 Points
The Contender
CAPLlock
Con (against)
Losing
0 Points

Resolved: China is, or will have reached superpower status in the near future.

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Post Voting Period
The voting period for this debate has ended.
after 3 votes the winner is...
GWindeknecht1
Voting Style: Open Point System: 7 Point
Started: 10/29/2011 Category: Politics
Updated: 5 years ago Status: Post Voting Period
Viewed: 1,180 times Debate No: 19048
Debate Rounds (4)
Comments (1)
Votes (3)

 

GWindeknecht1

Pro

Round One will only be acceptance. Round 2 will start with debate and rebuttals. Thank you very much.
The burden of proof lies on myself to prove that China either is currently, or will become a superpower in the next 5-15 years.
On the other hand, my opponent must prove that China is not, or will not become a superpower in the next 5-16 years.
CAPLlock

Con

I will show China wont become a superpower in 5-15 years
Debate Round No. 1
GWindeknecht1

Pro

I would like to thank my opponent for accepting the debate today.

I would like to offer my definition for the most controversial term of th evening: Superpower.

Superpower: A superpower is a state with a dominant position in the international system which has the ability to influence events and its own interests and project power on a worldwide scale to protect those interests. A superpower is traditionally considered to be one step higher than a great power. [1]

With that in mind, let us start the debate.

Resolved: China is, or will have reached superpower status in the near future.

Future has been defined as the next 5-15 years, and my opponent has agreed to this time frame.

I affirm above resolution and offer 3 contentions finding China to be at, or will achieve in the near future, superpower status according to my definition.

Contention 1: Military Power
Contention 2: Population
Contention 3: Economic Power
Contention 4: Nuclear Capabilities
Contention 5: Influence

Today, we must judge the potential superpower of China by three factors: military might, numerical advantage (population), economic strength, intercontinental nuclear capabilities, and international influence.

Contention 1: Military Power

In recent years, the nation of China has seen considerable gains in military might. The pace and scope of China's military buildup is “potentially destabilizing” in the Pacific, a top defense official warned Wednesday as the Pentagon released an annual report cataloging China’s cruise missiles, fighter jets and growing, modernizing army. [2]
China is looking toward dominating the Pacific Region and has successfully done so. The Chinese have established one of the most modern and advanced navies in the world, comprising more than 560 combat vessels [3].
China's longer-term agenda is to develop 'comprehensive national power', including a strong military, that is in keeping with its view of itself as a great power [4] China’s People’s Liberation Army — with some 1.25 million ground troops, the largest in the world — is on track to achieve its goal of building a modern, regionally focused force by 2020 [5]
The Chinese have built an impressive list of military achievements:
A) Created the world's third largest navy, 562 new and powerful combat-ready vessels.
B) Created the world's largest ground army, comprising more than 1.25 million men.
C) Domination of the Pacific Region

For air superiority, China is developing a new-generation stealth jet fighter, the J-20 [6].

China is a superpower now by most regards. By 2020, it will have the most powerful army in the world, as well as the largest. China’s total military spending for 2010 was more than $160 billion. [7].
China is spending billions of dollars and is achieving results.
By any military regard, China is, or will very shortly, be a superpower.

Contention 2: Population

Without a doubt, a sizable and strong population is a necessary component of the superpower status. China once again achieves this. China has a population of nearly 1.4 billion people, nearly 20% of the entire planet [8].
China's population is a characteristic of their superpower status. "was used to signify a political community that occupied a continental-sized landmass, had a sizable population (relative at least to other major powers); a superordinate economic capacity (again, relative to others), including ample indigenous supplies of food and natural resources; enjoyed a high degree of non-dependence on international intercourse; and, most importantly, had a well-developed nuclear capacity (eventually normally defined as second-strike capability)" [9]
With a population far higher than the next contender, and making up more than 20% of the planet, China easily has a numerical advantage in any theoretical advantage.

Contention 3: Economic Power

Perhaps the greatest indicator of a superpower, is it's economic power. Again, China satisifies this condition. China currently has a gross domestic product of more than 10 trillion dollars, has the highest amount of investment in the world, and an epicenter of economic prowess [10]. China also has a "a superordinate economic capacity " [9]. In terms of economic power China is the economy of tomorrow.
In 2016, the United States will cease to be the world's largest economy, China will overtake the United States as the world's most powerful economic nation [11] [12].

Contention 4: Nuclear Capabilities.

All theoretical superpowers have a "and, most importantly, had a well-developed nuclear capacity" [9]. Again, China fulfills this goal. China has in excess of 900 powerful, inter-continental ballistic missiles at it's disposal [13]. China has a nuclear capability comparable to that of the United States and previous superpower the Soviet Union.

Contention 5: Influence

As a result of gigantic investment and massive economic growth, China is becoming more and more able to be considered an influential power (in line with my definition).

To understand why China's influence is increasingly pushing past its borders, just do the math.

When 1.3 billion people want something, the world feels it. And when those people in ever increasing numbers are joining a swelling middle class eager for a richer lifestyle, the world feels it even more. If China's growth continues, its consumer market will be the world's second largest by 2015 [14]. China, being the world's largest exporter, [10] exerts considerable control over world markets.
It holds the United States at bay with it's debt and currency manipulation.
China's massive growth greatly increased it's influence. China's influence is now world wide.

In conclusion, when determining whether China is, or will become a superpower, look at the facts:
1. China has the world's largest army.
2. China has the world's largest population.
3. China will have the world's largest economy (by 2016, in 5 years)
4. China has a massive nuclear stockpile.
5. China exerts global influence.

By all accounts, China is a superpower, or at least by 2016, it will be a superpower.

I urge an affirmative vote.

1- http://en.wikipedia.org...

2- http://www.nytimes.com...

3- http://globalfirepower.com...

4- http://www.cbsnews.com...

5- http://www.nytimes.com...

6- ibid

7- ibid

8- http://www.google.com...

9- http://post.queensu.ca...

10. https://www.cia.gov...

11. http://www.guardian.co.uk...

12. http://www.dailymail.co.uk...

13. http://www.fas.org...

14- http://www.washingtonpost.com...

CAPLlock

Con

CAPLlock forfeited this round.
Debate Round No. 2
GWindeknecht1

Pro

Extend all arguments. Vote pro!
CAPLlock

Con

CAPLlock forfeited this round.
Debate Round No. 3
GWindeknecht1

Pro

Once again, extend all arguments. Vote pro!
CAPLlock

Con

CAPLlock forfeited this round.
Debate Round No. 4
1 comment has been posted on this debate.
Posted by logicrules 5 years ago
logicrules
A negative can't be proved. The burden of proof always rests with the bringer of the affirmative.
3 votes have been placed for this debate. Showing 1 through 3 records.
Vote Placed by tvellalott 5 years ago
tvellalott
GWindeknecht1CAPLlockTied
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Total points awarded:60 
Reasons for voting decision: Pro's opening argument was brilliant. It's a shame it was wasted on a forfeit. You should definitely repost this and find a worthy Con.
Vote Placed by Mestari 5 years ago
Mestari
GWindeknecht1CAPLlockTied
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Reasons for voting decision: FF
Vote Placed by BlackVoid 5 years ago
BlackVoid
GWindeknecht1CAPLlockTied
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Total points awarded:40 
Reasons for voting decision: Forfeit