Will India e the next world power
Debate Rounds (4)
I will define World Power as "A nation having the power to influence the course of world events through economic, diplomatic, and/or military influence"
I will argue that India is the next world power on the grounds that India is progressing in becoming a modern nation and that these other nations will not be the next world power on the grounds that they already ARE world powers.
The US - Number 1 in everything military and economic right now
Germany - the largest European exporter of anything, major trading partner of many nations
UK - Second most modern military and crucial in world diplomacy
China - staggering economic growth for years has recently made this nation vital to world trade
Brazil - The largest economy in South America and one of the most modern countries in the world and the most modern in South America
Japan - Relatively small nation that is very advanced and built its economy almost completely off of technology exports.
The Con's BoP is to argue why India will NOT be the next world power and argue which nation IS the next world power.
My BoP is to convince voters that India is next in line
I will focus on these qualities of India for why they have the potential to be the next world power
1) Rapid industrialization
2) Sheer population size
3) Growth in literacy rate of population
4) Large scale foreign investment
5) Somewhat large and modern military
6) Falling fertility rates
7) Lower rates of famine
8) Less attention paid towards the disputed Kashmir region
India is only inferior to China in construction of skyscrapers which single-handedly shows how India is a very rapidly industrializing country. India is also showing signs of rampant industrialization in terms of growth
" For some time it was regarded as a model of successful planned economic development. Its strategy involved wholesale import substitution behind high and permanent barriers to import competition, a growing public sector, a highly constrained private sector, and tight controls on the entry of foreign capital and technology."
- Economic review of the World Bank on the Indian economy
2) Sheer population size
Now for quite sometime now India's population was always seen as an enormous handicap placed on the nation. However the same was said for China, who like India was struggling to deal with its massive population in the early 1950's. China though, through a booming economy and a massive rise in literacy rates, became a global economic superpower by the 21st century, going from economically backwards to #2 in the world in a matter of 50 years. India though showed much slower industrialization and growth in literacy rates than China did, so while China was exploding in wealth India was trudging along relatively unchanged. However as literacy rates continue to climb and more and more foreign investment comes into India, it hints that India could be on the same path China took 30 years ago as it progresses from a backwards nation into a super power.
Compared to the rest of the NON-WORLD POWERS, India has the largest population and largest number of people ready to work. Giving India a massive advantage in terms of possible economic prosperity since the country has so many more people to work and help the country make money compared to other nations. India for example will be more important to the world then say Kazakhstan because even though the two countries are almost the same size, India has a far larger hand in world economics due to the size of its population that can enter the workforce.
3) Literacy rates
Literacy rates reflect the overall education of a country. America has long been at 99% along with most of Europe and any other advanced country, whereas India is at 74% as of 2010. The Literacy rate of India just 10 years earlier though was at 65%, and when India became independent in 1950, literacy was only at 12%!!!
India has seen stupendous growth in education of its population (increase of 600% when it became independent 60 years ago, which is like 10% growth in literacy every 6 years) and rising literacy rates almost always result in an economic boom compared to its prior, illiterate form. No other nation has seen such a growth in literacy like this except for China who in 1950 had a literacy rate of 15% to 20%
Over time though, literacy rates soared, illiteracy fell, and when the country became an economic power house literacy rates were at around 90%
My point is, India is experiencing a staggering growth in literacy for its massive population similar to that of China's which in the short and long term will only reflect the progress of India's socio-economic growth which makes India a prime candidate to be like China and erupt into world trade.
4) large scale foreign investment
India has recently been swimming in money coming from outside investors which has allowed the nation to have access to huge funds to upgrade its infrastructure, improve education, improve living conditions, etc. Seeing as how there is no forseeable end to such foreign investment in the near future, India will continue to have access to an increased level of outside investors to use to further modernize the nation of over 1 Billion people which in the long term will only cement India's position of being the next world power.
This outside investment combined with increased interest from stores and chains to open up shops in India only sets to bring even more wealth to the massive country. Some potential benefactors include Starbucks and Apple
5) One of the agreed upon definitions of a world power is the ability to make an impact on the world through its own military forces... Well India has recently surpassed china itself as the number one importer of military systems, making India a prime power in influence through its military as modern nations, who are downsizing their military budgets and forces, may offload excess weapons to India for a nice profit, while India gets some flashy new weapons to use. These new weapons, which put their older ones to shame, are steadily making India not only a modern military, but soon to be one that makes most of its own advanced weapons rather than just importing ones.
6) India's fertility rate is currently put at 2.81%, a number that puts it halfway on the list of countries by fertility rate, and that number ahs been dropping slowly for some time now.
The falling fertilitry rates (decreased by almost half since 1960) is another sign that India is crawling out of the depths of third world countries and is making its way to the stage as one of the most powerful countries in the World since modern countries are characterized by a large middle class and low fertility rates (something India is advancing towards in both categories) only hints that India will be the next world power.
Sadly my character limit is about to expire, I will introduce my other arguments in the next round and if I have enough space I will examine my opponents criticisms of India.
J3T forfeited this round.
7) Lower rates of famine.
The easiest indicator of what is an advanced nation and what is a poverty stricken nation is how frequently the nation suffers from famine, hwo well a nation can forestall famines, and how well nations can eliminate and contain famines. The last major famine that occurred back in India occurred in 1943 when WWII was raging.
India's ability to avert numerous famines despite enduring drought after drought greatly reflects its ability and influence to protect its own population, improve infrastructure, and work with its own people. In the biggest famine crisis in India since 1943, the Maharashtra drought of the 1970's, 25 million people suddenly became extremely vulnerable to starvation and death, but massive intervention by the Indian government despite little outside influence prevented a single death caused by starvation. This successful management of its own population and resources hints at the rising power and influence of India.
8) Less attention to the Kashmir region
Perhaps the largest limitation put on India's rise to power was the dispute over the Kashmir region with Pakistan that resulted in three wars, a nuclear standoff, and a still standing hatred between two heavily armed nations. Kashmir to India was what Afghanistan was to Russia or Vietnam to the US. But the Kashmir debacle occurred at such an early time in India's history as an independent nation that it severely impacted the progression of the nation into an industrialized and modern one through the late 20th century while China did. However now that India has taken a step back from its military objectives and focused more on trade, infrastructure, and its people, India is back on track to becoming a very advanced nation and the next superpower in the world.
Now to address the Con's original attacks against India in the opening round,
- 1 - increasing population
- 2 - lack of resources
- 3 - lack of respect
- 1 - It is true that India's population has long been a limiting factor on the country's well being, however I have already shown that India's population is starting to stabilize growth-wise and provided evidence about how India's massive working population can enable it to become a massive economical force in the world as the country continues to become more modern with time.
- 2 - India does not have a lack of resources. Oil wise they have the second largest amount of oil reserves in South Eastern Asia, second only to China. Natural gas wise the country has 1.4 billion cubic meters in reserves of Natural gas and has enough coal to sustain its massive energy consumption for 120 years, and that number can be extended if India continues exploiting renewable energy sources such as hydroelectricity. India is also one of the largest owners of iron, copper, and bauxite in the world with several proven reserves of access to gold, silver, and diamonds.
- 3 - I invite the Con to provide evidence of how the world "doesn't respect" India...
J3T forfeited this round.
J3T forfeited this round.
1 votes has been placed for this debate.
Vote Placed by F-16_Fighting_Falcon 4 years ago
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