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Sample poll: Mikal or Bladerunner for pres?

Benshapiro
Posts: 3,966
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12/10/2014 8:57:13 PM
Posted: 1 year ago
Name the person you are planning to vote for thus far. If you're undecided that's fine too.
headphonegut
Posts: 4,122
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12/10/2014 8:59:11 PM
Posted: 1 year ago
At 12/10/2014 8:57:13 PM, Benshapiro wrote:
Name the person you are planning to vote for thus far. If you're undecided that's fine too.

http://strawpoll.me...
crying to soldiers coming home to their dogs why do I torment myself with these videos?
heyfur_1213
Posts: 709
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12/10/2014 9:05:13 PM
Posted: 1 year ago
At 12/10/2014 8:57:13 PM, Benshapiro wrote:
Name the person you are planning to vote for thus far. If you're undecided that's fine too.

Definitely Mikal.
Benshapiro
Posts: 3,966
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12/10/2014 9:05:14 PM
Posted: 1 year ago
At 12/10/2014 8:59:11 PM, headphonegut wrote:
At 12/10/2014 8:57:13 PM, Benshapiro wrote:
Name the person you are planning to vote for thus far. If you're undecided that's fine too.

http://strawpoll.me...

Everyone be sure to cast your sample vote here.
Blade-of-Truth
Posts: 5,036
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12/10/2014 9:12:02 PM
Posted: 1 year ago
At 12/10/2014 9:08:35 PM, Benshapiro wrote:
So far

Mikal : 6

Bladedunner: 4
Debate.org Deputy Vote Moderator
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Blade-of-Truth
Posts: 5,036
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12/10/2014 9:12:30 PM
Posted: 1 year ago
At 12/10/2014 9:12:02 PM, Blade-of-Truth wrote:
At 12/10/2014 9:08:35 PM, Benshapiro wrote:
So far

Mikal : 9

Bladedunner: 4
Debate.org Deputy Vote Moderator
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
DDO Voting Guide: http://www.debate.org...
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Need a judge on your debate? Nominate me! http://www.debate.org...
imabench
Posts: 21,229
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12/10/2014 9:13:44 PM
Posted: 1 year ago
At 12/10/2014 9:12:30 PM, Blade-of-Truth wrote:
At 12/10/2014 9:12:02 PM, Blade-of-Truth wrote:
At 12/10/2014 9:08:35 PM, Benshapiro wrote:
So far

Mikal : 9

Bladedunner: 4

who the hell is this 'bladedunner' people are voting for?
Kevin24018 : "He's just so mean it makes me want to ball up my fists and stamp on the ground"
Geogeer: "Nobody is dumb enough to become my protege."

7/14/16 = The Presidency Dies

DDO: THE MOVIE = http://www.debate.org...
http://www.debate.org...

VP of DDO from Dec 14th 2014 to Jan 1st 2015
Benshapiro
Posts: 3,966
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12/10/2014 9:14:29 PM
Posted: 1 year ago
Now it's 10 Mikal, 5 blade runner... The sample size is still too small so variance is a very likely factor.
Mikal
Posts: 11,270
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12/10/2014 9:14:43 PM
Posted: 1 year ago
There is going to be so much drama from this , I already see it forthcoming

I just wish we could all take the last day before elections to sit back and smile. There has been so much stuff and harsh things said, that we all could use a break. I just want to focus on what we need to do to improve the site and i'm ready for this thing to be over so we can do that. Everyone on here is my friends, I miss people interacting with me as such in ways :/

Some of the things said has been depressing.

Days I miss live mafia and chilling on G+ :/
Benshapiro
Posts: 3,966
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12/10/2014 9:16:04 PM
Posted: 1 year ago
At 12/10/2014 9:13:44 PM, imabench wrote:
At 12/10/2014 9:12:30 PM, Blade-of-Truth wrote:
At 12/10/2014 9:12:02 PM, Blade-of-Truth wrote:
At 12/10/2014 9:08:35 PM, Benshapiro wrote:
So far

Mikal : 9

Bladedunner: 4

who the hell is this 'bladedunner' people are voting for?

Isn't that an awesome typo though? It sounds like a southern samurai badass
kbub
Posts: 1,377
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12/10/2014 9:32:07 PM
Posted: 1 year ago
This poll isn't exactly accurate. May I suggest an alternative method?

---

1. Go to this link: http://www.debate.org...

2. It will show the "members online." Now, go to this link: http://www.random.org...

3. It is a random integer generator. Set "Generate" to your desired sample size: e.g. 25.

4. Set "value" from "1" to "428" (number of members online). Each number that pops out will be the number of the person on the above list--e.g. 103 means person #103.

5. Send a friend request to each person.

6. Two hours later, of those who answered the request, send a message asking them to vote on the poll. If you already are their friend, then send a message to them two hours later regardless.

7. Ask them to vote only if they are "familiar" (or maybe a less harsh word, something that asks if they know merely that there is one) with the DDO election.

8. Also include on the poll: "I do not understand what the questions is asking" or "I do not understand the topic" as possible responses.

---

The above technique will create a randomized, systematic, and very accurate poll (as long as the wording of the poll is neutral).

Limitations:
1. Selection bias. People who respond to these polls might have different opinions from the ones who choose not to (e.g., they have particularly strong opinions of the candidates, or a particular reason for the poll).
2. The people who have an opinion may not vote.
3. The poll is limited to people who are on DDO here, now, and respond to friend requests. It may not be generalizable to people who may come on at different times.

But as I said, doing the method I describe would be much more systematic and less prone to bias.
Benshapiro
Posts: 3,966
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12/10/2014 9:48:51 PM
Posted: 1 year ago
At 12/10/2014 9:32:07 PM, kbub wrote:
This poll isn't exactly accurate. May I suggest an alternative method?

---

1. Go to this link: http://www.debate.org...

2. It will show the "members online." Now, go to this link: http://www.random.org...

3. It is a random integer generator. Set "Generate" to your desired sample size: e.g. 25.

4. Set "value" from "1" to "428" (number of members online). Each number that pops out will be the number of the person on the above list--e.g. 103 means person #103.

5. Send a friend request to each person.

6. Two hours later, of those who answered the request, send a message asking them to vote on the poll. If you already are their friend, then send a message to them two hours later regardless.

7. Ask them to vote only if they are "familiar" (or maybe a less harsh word, something that asks if they know merely that there is one) with the DDO election.

8. Also include on the poll: "I do not understand what the questions is asking" or "I do not understand the topic" as possible responses.

---

The above technique will create a randomized, systematic, and very accurate poll (as long as the wording of the poll is neutral).

Limitations:
1. Selection bias. People who respond to these polls might have different opinions from the ones who choose not to (e.g., they have particularly strong opinions of the candidates, or a particular reason for the poll).
2. The people who have an opinion may not vote.
3. The poll is limited to people who are on DDO here, now, and respond to friend requests. It may not be generalizable to people who may come on at different times.

But as I said, doing the method I describe would be much more systematic and less prone to bias.

I agree. Sampling randomly is a much better way to reduce the margin of error. In the OP i'm just asking to get a general idea because I'm too lazy to go through that much trouble. The person that made the poll wasn't me. It'd be interesting if someone else was up to it though.
imabench
Posts: 21,229
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12/10/2014 9:52:42 PM
Posted: 1 year ago
At 12/10/2014 9:49:51 PM, Benshapiro wrote:
Now we're getting almost to a tie.

Mikal: 15

Blade: 13

This election is going to be tighter than a Bee Weenie
Kevin24018 : "He's just so mean it makes me want to ball up my fists and stamp on the ground"
Geogeer: "Nobody is dumb enough to become my protege."

7/14/16 = The Presidency Dies

DDO: THE MOVIE = http://www.debate.org...
http://www.debate.org...

VP of DDO from Dec 14th 2014 to Jan 1st 2015
Benshapiro
Posts: 3,966
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12/10/2014 9:55:25 PM
Posted: 1 year ago
At 12/10/2014 9:52:42 PM, imabench wrote:
At 12/10/2014 9:49:51 PM, Benshapiro wrote:
Now we're getting almost to a tie.

Mikal: 15

Blade: 13

This election is going to be tighter than a Bee Weenie

Dang that's tight
Bennett91
Posts: 4,237
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12/10/2014 9:56:42 PM
Posted: 1 year ago
At 12/10/2014 8:57:13 PM, Benshapiro wrote:
Name the person you are planning to vote for thus far. If you're undecided that's fine too.

Bennett/Otter for President!
Benshapiro
Posts: 3,966
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12/10/2014 9:59:35 PM
Posted: 1 year ago
At 12/10/2014 9:56:42 PM, Bennett91 wrote:
At 12/10/2014 8:57:13 PM, Benshapiro wrote:
Name the person you are planning to vote for thus far. If you're undecided that's fine too.

Bennett/Otter for President!

But let's hypothetically assume you aren't gonna win. Would you vote for blade or Mikal or neither?
Benshapiro
Posts: 3,966
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12/10/2014 9:59:35 PM
Posted: 1 year ago
At 12/10/2014 9:56:42 PM, Bennett91 wrote:
At 12/10/2014 8:57:13 PM, Benshapiro wrote:
Name the person you are planning to vote for thus far. If you're undecided that's fine too.

Bennett/Otter for President!

But let's hypothetically assume you aren't gonna win. Would you vote for blade or Mikal or neither?
dtaylor971
Posts: 1,907
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12/10/2014 10:21:04 PM
Posted: 1 year ago
At 12/10/2014 9:05:13 PM, heyfur_1213 wrote:
At 12/10/2014 8:57:13 PM, Benshapiro wrote:
Name the person you are planning to vote for thus far. If you're undecided that's fine too.

Definitely Mikal.

You don't have the requirements to vote...
"I don't know why gays want to marry, I have spent the last 25 years wishing I wasn't allowed to." -Sadolite
heyfur_1213
Posts: 709
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12/10/2014 10:23:34 PM
Posted: 1 year ago
At 12/10/2014 10:21:04 PM, dtaylor971 wrote:
At 12/10/2014 9:05:13 PM, heyfur_1213 wrote:
At 12/10/2014 8:57:13 PM, Benshapiro wrote:
Name the person you are planning to vote for thus far. If you're undecided that's fine too.

Definitely Mikal.

You don't have the requirements to vote...

I'm working on it.
dtaylor971
Posts: 1,907
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12/10/2014 10:24:44 PM
Posted: 1 year ago
At 12/10/2014 10:23:34 PM, heyfur_1213 wrote:
At 12/10/2014 10:21:04 PM, dtaylor971 wrote:
At 12/10/2014 9:05:13 PM, heyfur_1213 wrote:
At 12/10/2014 8:57:13 PM, Benshapiro wrote:
Name the person you are planning to vote for thus far. If you're undecided that's fine too.

Definitely Mikal.

You don't have the requirements to vote...

I'm working on it.

Then let's get those forum posts

^
|

UP
"I don't know why gays want to marry, I have spent the last 25 years wishing I wasn't allowed to." -Sadolite
headphonegut
Posts: 4,122
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12/10/2014 10:26:54 PM
Posted: 1 year ago
http://poll.fm...

The question order is randomized. You can share it feel free too.
crying to soldiers coming home to their dogs why do I torment myself with these videos?
Maikuru
Posts: 9,112
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12/10/2014 10:27:13 PM
Posted: 1 year ago
Wait, there's an election going on? Why is no one talking about this?
"You assume I wouldn't want to burn this whole place to the ground."
- lamerde

https://i.imgflip.com...
headphonegut
Posts: 4,122
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12/10/2014 10:28:21 PM
Posted: 1 year ago
At 12/10/2014 10:27:13 PM, Maikuru wrote:
Wait, there's an election going on? Why is no one talking about this?

Don't I know you? I think I've played chess with you.
crying to soldiers coming home to their dogs why do I torment myself with these videos?
heyfur_1213
Posts: 709
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12/10/2014 10:28:37 PM
Posted: 1 year ago
At 12/10/2014 10:24:44 PM, dtaylor971 wrote:
At 12/10/2014 10:23:34 PM, heyfur_1213 wrote:
At 12/10/2014 10:21:04 PM, dtaylor971 wrote:
At 12/10/2014 9:05:13 PM, heyfur_1213 wrote:
At 12/10/2014 8:57:13 PM, Benshapiro wrote:
Name the person you are planning to vote for thus far. If you're undecided that's fine too.

Definitely Mikal.

You don't have the requirements to vote...

I'm working on it.

Then let's get those forum posts

^
|

UP

Lego! You wanna help me recite the ABC letter by letter? I need to refresh my memory.
dtaylor971
Posts: 1,907
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12/10/2014 10:31:42 PM
Posted: 1 year ago
At 12/10/2014 10:28:37 PM, heyfur_1213 wrote:
At 12/10/2014 10:24:44 PM, dtaylor971 wrote:
At 12/10/2014 10:23:34 PM, heyfur_1213 wrote:
At 12/10/2014 10:21:04 PM, dtaylor971 wrote:
At 12/10/2014 9:05:13 PM, heyfur_1213 wrote:
At 12/10/2014 8:57:13 PM, Benshapiro wrote:
Name the person you are planning to vote for thus far. If you're undecided that's fine too.

Definitely Mikal.

You don't have the requirements to vote...

I'm working on it.

Then let's get those forum posts

^
|

UP

Lego! You wanna help me recite the ABC letter by letter? I need to refresh my memory.

http://www.debate.org...
"I don't know why gays want to marry, I have spent the last 25 years wishing I wasn't allowed to." -Sadolite