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Oscar Predictions + Thoughts

Torton
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1/30/2016 6:52:02 PM
Posted: 10 months ago
I apologize if this thread has already been made (for this year's Oscars), but I've looked past a couple pages (and searched for it), and didn't find anything. I'll list the nominees myself, but if you want to see the actual site: https://www.oscars.org...

I'll italic the ones I think deserve the award, and bold the one that will probably win, if applicable, along with a few comments, and of course I think everyone loves talking (ranting) about the Oscars, so go for it.

Actor in a Leading Role:

Bryan Cranston (Trumbo)
Matt Damon (The Martian)
Leonardo DiCaprio (The Revenant)
Micheal Fassbender (Steve Jobs)
Eddie Redmayne (The Danish Girl)

Everyone knows DiCaprio is going to finally get the Oscar (after what's an entire career of Oscar snubbing), but it may as well be a sympathy Oscar, because I don't think he deserves it for his performance in The Revenant; all he did was crawl around in the dirt and groan for two hours, and really, anyone could have done that. Fassbender's performance was fantastic, and certainly leagues better than Ashton Kutcher's performance in Jobs. Matt Damon shouldn't be in the lineup at all, and Redmayne won undeservingly last year, as well, and if he wins again, I'll be... mildly irritated (but the internet will explode).

Actor in a Supporting Role:

Christian Bale (The Big Short)
Tom Hardy (The Revenant)
Mark Ruffalo (Spotlight)
Mark Rylance (Bridge of Spies)
Sylvester Stallone (Creed)

This belongs to Tom Hardy; his performance in The Revenant is THE standout thing about the movie (though props does need to go to Will Poulter). I've heard people complain about his accent (and that it's hard to understand), but I didn't really have any problems with it. I've also heard people say it should go to Stallone, and considering I haven't seen Creed, I can't really comment on his performance, but I can't imagine it's better than Hardy's.

Actress in a Leading Role:

Cate Blanchett (Carol)
Brie Larson (Room)
Jennifer Lawrence (Joy)
Charlotte Rampling (45 Years)
Saoirse Ronan (Brooklyn)

Actress in a Supporting Role:

Jennifer Jason Leigh (The Hateful Eight)
Rooney Mara (Carol)
Rachel McAdams (Spotlight)
Alicia Vikander (The Danish Girl)
Kate Winslet (Steve Jobs)

I don't have much personal interest in these two categories, but it's probably going to go to Larson/Mara or Blanchett/Mara. As long as Jennifer Lawrence doesn't win, I'll be happy.

Animated Feature Film:

Anomalisa
Boy and the World
Inside Out
Shaun the Sheep Movie
When Marnie Was There

Anomalisa deserves this SO much, but Inside Out is probably going to win, and when it does I'm going to cry; not only because Inside Out isn't very original, it's leagues behind Anomalisa in quality.

Best Picture

The Big Short
Bridge of Spies
Brooklyn
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Room
Spotlight

I'm firmly in the camp that The Revenant was fvcking amazing, but it seems like Spotlight in the frontrunner, especially since Inarritu got it last year. Also, the Academy has the ability to nominate ten films for Best Picture, they need to start using all of the spots.

Cinematography:

Carol (Ed Lachman)
The Hateful 8 (Robert Richardson)
Mad Max: Fury Road (John Seale)
The Revenant (Robert Lubezki)
Sicario (Roger Deakins)

This belong to The Revenant. There are a few shots in it, that I'm not even quite sure how they got them. Although, I'm super glad Sicario got nominated, but at the same time sad because Deakins has gotten burned so much (and will again, this year), and he deserves one, so much.

Costume Design:

Carol (Sandy Powell)
Cinderella (Sandy Powell)
The Danish Girl (Paco Delgado)
Mad Max: Fury Road (Jenny Beaven)
The Revenant (Jacqueline West)


Makeup and Hairstyling:

Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant

The 100-Year-Old Man Who Climbed Out of the Window and Disappeared

I'll be happy with either Mad Max or The Revenant, for both these categories.

Directing:

The Big Short (Adam McKay)
Mad Max: Fury Road (George Miller)
The Revenant (Alejandro G. Inarritu)
Room (Lenny Abrahamson)
Spotlight (Tom McCarthy)

Should be Inarritu, but Miller will get it.

Visual Effects:

Ex Machina
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Mad Max or bust.

Music (Original Score):

Bridge of Spies (Thomas Newman)
Carol (Carter Burwell)
The Hateful 8 (Ennio Morricone)
Sicario (Johann Johannsson)
Star Wars: The Force Awakens (John Williams)

The Hateful 8 will get it, but I'm glad Sicario got nominated. If by some miracle of nature, The Force Awakens gets it, I'll will weep, more than I would if Trump wins the presidency. The score in TFA was just hugely uninspired compared to John William's score in the original trilogy.

Short Film (Animated):

Bear Story (Gabriel Osorio / Pato Escala)
Prologue (Richard Williams / Imogen Sutton)
Sanjay's Super Team (Sanjay Patel / Nicole Grindle)
We Can't Live Without Cosmos (Konstantin Bronzit)
World of Tomorrow (Don Hertzfeldt)

I haven't seen any of these (so can't really predict the winner) except World of Tomorrow, which is a great little quirky dark comedy, that everyone should see. IIRC, it's less than 20 minutes. It's not as good as Hertzfeldt's It's Such a Beautiful Day (his feature film, which I also think everyone should see), but I think it's still worth the watch.

Musical (Original Song):

Earned It (Fifty Shades of Sh!t)
Manta Ray (Racing Extinction)
Simple Song #3 (Youth)
'Til It Happens to You (The Hunting Ground)
Writing's On the Wall (Spectre)

They all suck, but the Bond theme (which is terrible, by the way) is probably going to win, because the artist is trendy.

Some categories are excluded, because I haven't seen the films or just don't care enough, but they're all there in the link.
Torton
Posts: 988
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1/31/2016 6:06:41 AM
Posted: 10 months ago
At 1/30/2016 7:45:18 PM, NumberOneGuy wrote:
i do hope this to finally be leonardos year
So does everyone else (this totally isn't just to bump the thread).
Torton
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2/29/2016 1:20:49 AM
Posted: 9 months ago
At 2/29/2016 1:06:27 AM, Torton wrote:
Bumping. The actual awards are just a few hours, away.

Livestream: https://www.youtube.com...
Also when I say few hours, a mean, now, 10 minutes ( I think).
Torton
Posts: 988
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2/29/2016 1:36:41 AM
Posted: 9 months ago
At 2/29/2016 1:20:49 AM, Torton wrote:
At 2/29/2016 1:06:27 AM, Torton wrote:
Bumping. The actual awards are just a few hours, away.

Livestream: https://www.youtube.com...
Also when I say few hours, a mean, now, 10 minutes ( I think).
Stream taking down: https://www.youtube.com...
Torton
Posts: 988
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2/29/2016 1:36:56 AM
Posted: 9 months ago
At 2/29/2016 1:36:41 AM, Torton wrote:
At 2/29/2016 1:20:49 AM, Torton wrote:
At 2/29/2016 1:06:27 AM, Torton wrote:
Bumping. The actual awards are just a few hours, away.

Livestream: https://www.youtube.com...
Also when I say few hours, a mean, now, 10 minutes ( I think).
Stream taken down: https://www.youtube.com...
Torton
Posts: 988
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2/29/2016 3:08:15 AM
Posted: 9 months ago
Between hopping between streams that were taken down, I've probably missed quite a lot, but here are the winners I've heard, thus far:

Best Original Screenplay: Tom McCarthy for Spotlight.
Best Adapted Screenplay: Charles Randolph and Adam McKay for The Big Short
Best Supporting Actress: Alicia Vikander for The Danish Girl
Sound Mixing/Sound Editing: Mad Max
Visual Effects: Ex Machina (this was the most surprising, but refreshing).