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Quinnipiac University Poll Iowa Sander 49

TBR
Posts: 9,991
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1/27/2016 4:24:52 PM
Posted: 10 months ago
My actual predictions at this moment.

Dem Primary
Early States

Sanders takes
NH & IA

Clinton
SC

NV unknown

Then we hit super Tuesday, Sanders shows well, but Clinton deals near knock out blow.

GOP Primary
Early States

Trump
IA & NH

Cruz
SC

A strong show by some other republican brings him up in the polls going into super Tuesday. Who I don't know, but it knocks Trump off the top spot, and its Cruz vs. another through the remainder of the primary.

General
Clinton vs. <GOP - not Trump>

Clinton takes
OR
NV
AZ
NM
CO - ?
FL - ?
OH
MI
IA - ?
MN

Clinton wins.
TBR
Posts: 9,991
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1/28/2016 8:04:37 PM
Posted: 10 months ago
At 1/27/2016 3:53:52 PM, TBR wrote:
Sander 49 / Clinton 45

http://www.quinnipiac.edu...

Only a few more days now. Lets get predictions going.
thett3
Posts: 14,334
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1/28/2016 8:11:57 PM
Posted: 10 months ago
The last Nevada poll showed Clinton leading, but it was pretty close. Clinton has a huge lead nationally right now, but if Sanders manages to eke out a win in Iowa and manages to pick up Nevada too he actually has a chance. Going 3-1 in the early states would be a huge boon for his campaign.

If he loses Iowa I don't really see any hope for him
DDO Vice President

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"My name is max. I'm not a big fan of slacks"- Max rapping

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"Thett, you're really good at convincing people you're a decent person"-tulle

"You fit the character of Regina George quite nicely"- Sam

: At 11/12/2016 11:49:40 PM, Raisor wrote:
: thett was right
Objectivity
Posts: 1,073
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1/28/2016 8:16:28 PM
Posted: 10 months ago
At 1/27/2016 3:53:52 PM, TBR wrote:
Sander 49 / Clinton 45

http://www.quinnipiac.edu...

I doubt it will happen but the strongest ticket would be Kasich and Rubio, Kasich would handily win Ohio as would Rubio with Florida, and he would get at least a larger minority of the hispanic vote. That would probably be enough to carry the election
TBR
Posts: 9,991
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1/28/2016 8:27:32 PM
Posted: 10 months ago
At 1/28/2016 8:16:28 PM, Objectivity wrote:
At 1/27/2016 3:53:52 PM, TBR wrote:
Sander 49 / Clinton 45

http://www.quinnipiac.edu...

I doubt it will happen but the strongest ticket would be Kasich and Rubio, Kasich would handily win Ohio as would Rubio with Florida, and he would get at least a larger minority of the hispanic vote. That would probably be enough to carry the election

I am so tired of FL in national elections.
TBR
Posts: 9,991
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1/28/2016 8:28:17 PM
Posted: 10 months ago
At 1/28/2016 8:11:57 PM, thett3 wrote:
The last Nevada poll showed Clinton leading, but it was pretty close. Clinton has a huge lead nationally right now, but if Sanders manages to eke out a win in Iowa and manages to pick up Nevada too he actually has a chance. Going 3-1 in the early states would be a huge boon for his campaign.

If he loses Iowa I don't really see any hope for him

I just have no idea where Nevada will go.
imabench
Posts: 21,206
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1/28/2016 8:28:23 PM
Posted: 10 months ago
At 1/27/2016 4:24:52 PM, TBR wrote:
My actual predictions at this moment.

Dem Primary
Early States

Sanders takes
NH & IA

I still think Hillary will pull out in Iowa because Sanders' support wont turnout since the youth vote is notoriously bad to rely on in primary races..... Ill give Sanders NH because its right next door to his home state in Vermont which is home-field territory for him

Then we hit super Tuesday, Sanders shows well, but Clinton deals near knock out blow.

Agreed

GOP Primary
Early States

Trump
IA & NH

Cruz
SC

If Trump wins Iowa and NH then he'll get all the momentum he needs to carry him through the rest of the early primary contests. What'll be important to watch is which moderate performs the best, because then other moderates will drop out and their numbers will go to that candidate who will then be able to match up against Trump and Cruz. Maybe even Carson if he's still around by then.

General
Clinton vs. <GOP - not Trump>

Itll be Clinton but its a complete crapshoot who wins the GOP nomination at this point, Trump certainly has a chance to win it all.

Clinton wins.

Praise the Helix fossil!
Kevin24018 : "He's just so mean it makes me want to ball up my fists and stamp on the ground"

7/14/16 = The Presidency Dies

DDO: THE MOVIE = http://www.debate.org...
http://www.debate.org...

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imabench
Posts: 21,206
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1/28/2016 8:28:49 PM
Posted: 10 months ago
At 1/28/2016 8:27:32 PM, TBR wrote:
At 1/28/2016 8:16:28 PM, Objectivity wrote:
At 1/27/2016 3:53:52 PM, TBR wrote:
Sander 49 / Clinton 45

http://www.quinnipiac.edu...

I doubt it will happen but the strongest ticket would be Kasich and Rubio, Kasich would handily win Ohio as would Rubio with Florida, and he would get at least a larger minority of the hispanic vote. That would probably be enough to carry the election

I am so tired of FL in national elections.

As a Floridian myself, so am I
Kevin24018 : "He's just so mean it makes me want to ball up my fists and stamp on the ground"

7/14/16 = The Presidency Dies

DDO: THE MOVIE = http://www.debate.org...
http://www.debate.org...

VP of DDO from Dec 14th 2014 to Jan 1st 2015
thett3
Posts: 14,334
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1/28/2016 8:29:55 PM
Posted: 10 months ago
At 1/28/2016 8:28:17 PM, TBR wrote:
At 1/28/2016 8:11:57 PM, thett3 wrote:
The last Nevada poll showed Clinton leading, but it was pretty close. Clinton has a huge lead nationally right now, but if Sanders manages to eke out a win in Iowa and manages to pick up Nevada too he actually has a chance. Going 3-1 in the early states would be a huge boon for his campaign.

If he loses Iowa I don't really see any hope for him

I just have no idea where Nevada will go.

Latest poll is Clinto 47 Bernie 43 which is within the margin of error http://overtimepolitics.com...

And doesn't Nevada go before South Carolina for the dems? If it does and Bernie is coming there 2-0 that's easily enough momentum to swing it. If he doesn't win Iowa it'll be grim
DDO Vice President

#StandwithBossy

#UnbanTheMadman

#BetOnThett

"Don't quote me, ever." -Max

"My name is max. I'm not a big fan of slacks"- Max rapping

"Walmart should have the opportunity to bribe a politician to it's agenda" -Max

"Thett, you're really good at convincing people you're a decent person"-tulle

"You fit the character of Regina George quite nicely"- Sam

: At 11/12/2016 11:49:40 PM, Raisor wrote:
: thett was right
TBR
Posts: 9,991
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1/28/2016 8:32:54 PM
Posted: 10 months ago
At 1/28/2016 8:28:23 PM, imabench wrote:
At 1/27/2016 4:24:52 PM, TBR wrote:
My actual predictions at this moment.

Dem Primary
Early States

Sanders takes
NH & IA

I still think Hillary will pull out in Iowa because Sanders' support wont turnout since the youth vote is notoriously bad to rely on in primary races..... Ill give Sanders NH because its right next door to his home state in Vermont which is home-field territory for him

Yea, I would have agreed with you re: Iowa, but i'm just not that convinced anymore. He has not done as much work in Iowa as Obama did, but lest recall the exact same poor predictions last go.
TBR
Posts: 9,991
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1/28/2016 8:35:02 PM
Posted: 10 months ago
At 1/28/2016 8:28:49 PM, imabench wrote:
At 1/28/2016 8:27:32 PM, TBR wrote:
At 1/28/2016 8:16:28 PM, Objectivity wrote:
At 1/27/2016 3:53:52 PM, TBR wrote:
Sander 49 / Clinton 45

http://www.quinnipiac.edu...

I doubt it will happen but the strongest ticket would be Kasich and Rubio, Kasich would handily win Ohio as would Rubio with Florida, and he would get at least a larger minority of the hispanic vote. That would probably be enough to carry the election

I am so tired of FL in national elections.

As a Floridian myself, so am I

I think they need to have a voter suspension. They can have it back after some "practice votes" and good behavior.
TBR
Posts: 9,991
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1/28/2016 8:38:16 PM
Posted: 10 months ago
I should have added. If the polls are "likely voters" they are not counting on first-time voters. That he could turn out any new caucus goers would ADD to the lead.
imabench
Posts: 21,206
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1/28/2016 8:40:02 PM
Posted: 10 months ago
At 1/28/2016 8:32:54 PM, TBR wrote:
At 1/28/2016 8:28:23 PM, imabench wrote:
At 1/27/2016 4:24:52 PM, TBR wrote:
My actual predictions at this moment.

Dem Primary
Early States

Sanders takes
NH & IA

I still think Hillary will pull out in Iowa because Sanders' support wont turnout since the youth vote is notoriously bad to rely on in primary races..... Ill give Sanders NH because its right next door to his home state in Vermont which is home-field territory for him

Yea, I would have agreed with you re: Iowa, but i'm just not that convinced anymore. He has not done as much work in Iowa as Obama did, but lest recall the exact same poor predictions last go.

Obama got a hell of a boost for Iowa in a high profile endorsement from Oprah right before voting https://en.wikipedia.org...

Bernie doesnt have a high profile endorsement to flaunt, as Obama has basically sided with Hillary, and Biden is out of the picture completely.
Kevin24018 : "He's just so mean it makes me want to ball up my fists and stamp on the ground"

7/14/16 = The Presidency Dies

DDO: THE MOVIE = http://www.debate.org...
http://www.debate.org...

VP of DDO from Dec 14th 2014 to Jan 1st 2015
TBR
Posts: 9,991
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1/28/2016 8:45:34 PM
Posted: 10 months ago
At 1/28/2016 8:40:02 PM, imabench wrote:
At 1/28/2016 8:32:54 PM, TBR wrote:
At 1/28/2016 8:28:23 PM, imabench wrote:
At 1/27/2016 4:24:52 PM, TBR wrote:
My actual predictions at this moment.

Dem Primary
Early States

Sanders takes
NH & IA

I still think Hillary will pull out in Iowa because Sanders' support wont turnout since the youth vote is notoriously bad to rely on in primary races..... Ill give Sanders NH because its right next door to his home state in Vermont which is home-field territory for him

Yea, I would have agreed with you re: Iowa, but i'm just not that convinced anymore. He has not done as much work in Iowa as Obama did, but lest recall the exact same poor predictions last go.

Obama got a hell of a boost for Iowa in a high profile endorsement from Oprah right before voting https://en.wikipedia.org...

Bernie doesnt have a high profile endorsement to flaunt, as Obama has basically sided with Hillary, and Biden is out of the picture completely.

OK. Willing to go out on a limb here.

Bet - Sanders wins Iowa.
Stakes -
* You have to say nice things about every idiot you see on the forums for... a weekend.
* I have to <you choose>
imabench
Posts: 21,206
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1/28/2016 8:52:57 PM
Posted: 10 months ago
At 1/28/2016 8:45:34 PM, TBR wrote:
At 1/28/2016 8:40:02 PM, imabench wrote:
At 1/28/2016 8:32:54 PM, TBR wrote:
At 1/28/2016 8:28:23 PM, imabench wrote:
At 1/27/2016 4:24:52 PM, TBR wrote:
My actual predictions at this moment.

Dem Primary
Early States

Sanders takes
NH & IA

I still think Hillary will pull out in Iowa because Sanders' support wont turnout since the youth vote is notoriously bad to rely on in primary races..... Ill give Sanders NH because its right next door to his home state in Vermont which is home-field territory for him

Yea, I would have agreed with you re: Iowa, but i'm just not that convinced anymore. He has not done as much work in Iowa as Obama did, but lest recall the exact same poor predictions last go.

Obama got a hell of a boost for Iowa in a high profile endorsement from Oprah right before voting https://en.wikipedia.org...

Bernie doesnt have a high profile endorsement to flaunt, as Obama has basically sided with Hillary, and Biden is out of the picture completely.

OK. Willing to go out on a limb here.

Bet - Sanders wins Iowa.
Stakes -
* I have to say nice things about every idiot you see on the forums for... a weekend if Bernie wins
* You have to Vote a tie on my final debate and leave an RFD written by me (it will be a troll debate and youre voting as a tie so you wont get in any trouble) if Hillary wins

deal?
Kevin24018 : "He's just so mean it makes me want to ball up my fists and stamp on the ground"

7/14/16 = The Presidency Dies

DDO: THE MOVIE = http://www.debate.org...
http://www.debate.org...

VP of DDO from Dec 14th 2014 to Jan 1st 2015
TBR
Posts: 9,991
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1/28/2016 8:53:39 PM
Posted: 10 months ago
At 1/28/2016 8:52:57 PM, imabench wrote:
At 1/28/2016 8:45:34 PM, TBR wrote:
At 1/28/2016 8:40:02 PM, imabench wrote:
At 1/28/2016 8:32:54 PM, TBR wrote:
At 1/28/2016 8:28:23 PM, imabench wrote:
At 1/27/2016 4:24:52 PM, TBR wrote:
My actual predictions at this moment.

Dem Primary
Early States

Sanders takes
NH & IA

I still think Hillary will pull out in Iowa because Sanders' support wont turnout since the youth vote is notoriously bad to rely on in primary races..... Ill give Sanders NH because its right next door to his home state in Vermont which is home-field territory for him

Yea, I would have agreed with you re: Iowa, but i'm just not that convinced anymore. He has not done as much work in Iowa as Obama did, but lest recall the exact same poor predictions last go.

Obama got a hell of a boost for Iowa in a high profile endorsement from Oprah right before voting https://en.wikipedia.org...

Bernie doesnt have a high profile endorsement to flaunt, as Obama has basically sided with Hillary, and Biden is out of the picture completely.

OK. Willing to go out on a limb here.

Bet - Sanders wins Iowa.
Stakes -
* I have to say nice things about every idiot you see on the forums for... a weekend if Bernie wins
* You have to Vote a tie on my final debate and leave an RFD written by me (it will be a troll debate and youre voting as a tie so you wont get in any trouble) if Hillary wins

deal?

DONE!
Greyparrot
Posts: 14,241
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1/28/2016 10:38:13 PM
Posted: 10 months ago
At 1/28/2016 8:28:49 PM, imabench wrote:
At 1/28/2016 8:27:32 PM, TBR wrote:
At 1/28/2016 8:16:28 PM, Objectivity wrote:
At 1/27/2016 3:53:52 PM, TBR wrote:
Sander 49 / Clinton 45

http://www.quinnipiac.edu...

I doubt it will happen but the strongest ticket would be Kasich and Rubio, Kasich would handily win Ohio as would Rubio with Florida, and he would get at least a larger minority of the hispanic vote. That would probably be enough to carry the election

I am so tired of FL in national elections.

As a Floridian myself, so am I

I don't have a problem with benches picking the president.
imabench
Posts: 21,206
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1/28/2016 10:44:57 PM
Posted: 10 months ago
At 1/28/2016 10:38:13 PM, Greyparrot wrote:
At 1/28/2016 8:28:49 PM, imabench wrote:
At 1/28/2016 8:27:32 PM, TBR wrote:
At 1/28/2016 8:16:28 PM, Objectivity wrote:
At 1/27/2016 3:53:52 PM, TBR wrote:
Sander 49 / Clinton 45

http://www.quinnipiac.edu...

I doubt it will happen but the strongest ticket would be Kasich and Rubio, Kasich would handily win Ohio as would Rubio with Florida, and he would get at least a larger minority of the hispanic vote. That would probably be enough to carry the election

I am so tired of FL in national elections.

As a Floridian myself, so am I

I don't have a problem with benches picking the president.

<333
Kevin24018 : "He's just so mean it makes me want to ball up my fists and stamp on the ground"

7/14/16 = The Presidency Dies

DDO: THE MOVIE = http://www.debate.org...
http://www.debate.org...

VP of DDO from Dec 14th 2014 to Jan 1st 2015
stealspell
Posts: 980
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1/29/2016 12:37:46 AM
Posted: 10 months ago
At 1/28/2016 8:16:28 PM, Objectivity wrote:
At 1/27/2016 3:53:52 PM, TBR wrote:
Sander 49 / Clinton 45

http://www.quinnipiac.edu...

I doubt it will happen but the strongest ticket would be Kasich and Rubio

Thanks but I'd rather watch paint dry.
stealspell
Posts: 980
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1/29/2016 12:44:12 AM
Posted: 10 months ago
At 1/28/2016 8:40:02 PM, imabench wrote:
Bernie doesnt have a high profile endorsement to flaunt, as Obama has basically sided with Hillary, and Biden is out of the picture completely.

Elizabeth Warren just hit Clinton right in the testicles.

https://www.youtube.com...