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Who will win in Iowa tonight?

BrendanD19
Posts: 2,047
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2/1/2016 4:06:33 PM
Posted: 10 months ago
This is about who you think will win and why, not why such candidate is better or worse. No ridiculing someone for supporting a candidate, or for their political views.
If you would like to have a conversation about political theory or economics, please go to another forum.
BrendanD19
Posts: 2,047
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2/1/2016 4:24:15 PM
Posted: 10 months ago
I predict that the winner of the Republican Caucus will be Ted Cruz, because Ted Cruz will turn out the evangelical vote, and I suspect that there will be those who come intending to vote for Bush or Huckabee or Santorum will wind up strategically voting for Cruz in order to stop Trump from winning.
On the Democratic side, I predict Bernie Sanders will win, mostly because from what I observed in Iowa while I was canvassing over the weekend, the Bernie Supporters are more passionate in their support, and therefore more likley to show up. Also I think O'Malley supporters will be more drawn to Bernie than Hillary and will likley put Bernie over the edge.
Wylted
Posts: 21,167
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2/1/2016 4:59:24 PM
Posted: 10 months ago
I heard Marco Rubio was sending his supporters to Trump to strategically knock Cruz out of the race early on.
TBR
Posts: 9,991
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2/1/2016 5:02:18 PM
Posted: 10 months ago
At 2/1/2016 4:59:24 PM, Wylted wrote:
I heard Marco Rubio was sending his supporters to Trump to strategically knock Cruz out of the race early on.

I highly doubt that.
Greyparrot
Posts: 14,268
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2/1/2016 5:04:41 PM
Posted: 10 months ago
At 2/1/2016 5:02:18 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 4:59:24 PM, Wylted wrote:
I heard Marco Rubio was sending his supporters to Trump to strategically knock Cruz out of the race early on.

I highly doubt that.

Cruz will be the scary monster that makes Trump look good.
Wylted
Posts: 21,167
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2/1/2016 5:05:26 PM
Posted: 10 months ago
At 2/1/2016 5:02:18 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 4:59:24 PM, Wylted wrote:
I heard Marco Rubio was sending his supporters to Trump to strategically knock Cruz out of the race early on.

I highly doubt that.

I did see it on facebook, so it's not the most reliable source.
TBR
Posts: 9,991
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2/1/2016 5:06:47 PM
Posted: 10 months ago
At 2/1/2016 5:04:41 PM, Greyparrot wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:02:18 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 4:59:24 PM, Wylted wrote:
I heard Marco Rubio was sending his supporters to Trump to strategically knock Cruz out of the race early on.

I highly doubt that.

Cruz will be the scary monster that makes Trump look good.

I don't disagree with that. Neither will get the nomination, but I have NO doubt that Cruz will be dropping like a rock soon enough.
TBR
Posts: 9,991
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2/1/2016 5:09:00 PM
Posted: 10 months ago
At 2/1/2016 5:05:26 PM, Wylted wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:02:18 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 4:59:24 PM, Wylted wrote:
I heard Marco Rubio was sending his supporters to Trump to strategically knock Cruz out of the race early on.

I highly doubt that.

I did see it on facebook, so it's not the most reliable source.

It is really wait and see time. I posted my horse racing thread, and the theme is, the race is going. No more bets, just have to watch and wait.
Wylted
Posts: 21,167
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2/1/2016 5:11:52 PM
Posted: 10 months ago
At 2/1/2016 5:09:00 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:05:26 PM, Wylted wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:02:18 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 4:59:24 PM, Wylted wrote:
I heard Marco Rubio was sending his supporters to Trump to strategically knock Cruz out of the race early on.

I highly doubt that.

I did see it on facebook, so it's not the most reliable source.

It is really wait and see time. I posted my horse racing thread, and the theme is, the race is going. No more bets, just have to watch and wait.

I still think Jeb wins the nomination. This might be the perfect time to get good odds on that bet
TBR
Posts: 9,991
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2/1/2016 5:12:26 PM
Posted: 10 months ago
At 2/1/2016 4:06:33 PM, BrendanD19 wrote:
This is about who you think will win and why, not why such candidate is better or worse. No ridiculing someone for supporting a candidate, or for their political views.
If you would like to have a conversation about political theory or economics, please go to another forum.

In direct reply to the question I will say, we have to just wait and see.

Sanders needs to turn out a lot of new support, that is incredibly tough in a caucus. However, counting on "new blood" entering is better than hoping for the old to just make it out in the snow.
TBR
Posts: 9,991
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2/1/2016 5:13:21 PM
Posted: 10 months ago
At 2/1/2016 5:11:52 PM, Wylted wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:09:00 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:05:26 PM, Wylted wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:02:18 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 4:59:24 PM, Wylted wrote:
I heard Marco Rubio was sending his supporters to Trump to strategically knock Cruz out of the race early on.

I highly doubt that.

I did see it on facebook, so it's not the most reliable source.

It is really wait and see time. I posted my horse racing thread, and the theme is, the race is going. No more bets, just have to watch and wait.

I still think Jeb wins the nomination. This might be the perfect time to get good odds on that bet

WOW. OK, I am down on that. Name it!
Wylted
Posts: 21,167
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2/1/2016 5:18:14 PM
Posted: 10 months ago
At 2/1/2016 5:13:21 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:11:52 PM, Wylted wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:09:00 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:05:26 PM, Wylted wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:02:18 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 4:59:24 PM, Wylted wrote:
I heard Marco Rubio was sending his supporters to Trump to strategically knock Cruz out of the race early on.

I highly doubt that.

I did see it on facebook, so it's not the most reliable source.

It is really wait and see time. I posted my horse racing thread, and the theme is, the race is going. No more bets, just have to watch and wait.

I still think Jeb wins the nomination. This might be the perfect time to get good odds on that bet

WOW. OK, I am down on that. Name it!

The party decides, history has shown the person with the most insider support wins. Give me ten to one odds and I bet ten.
EndarkenedRationalist
Posts: 14,201
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2/1/2016 5:19:42 PM
Posted: 10 months ago
At 2/1/2016 5:18:14 PM, Wylted wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:13:21 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:11:52 PM, Wylted wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:09:00 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:05:26 PM, Wylted wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:02:18 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 4:59:24 PM, Wylted wrote:
I heard Marco Rubio was sending his supporters to Trump to strategically knock Cruz out of the race early on.

I highly doubt that.

I did see it on facebook, so it's not the most reliable source.

It is really wait and see time. I posted my horse racing thread, and the theme is, the race is going. No more bets, just have to watch and wait.

I still think Jeb wins the nomination. This might be the perfect time to get good odds on that bet

WOW. OK, I am down on that. Name it!

The party decides, history has shown the person with the most insider support wins. Give me ten to one odds and I bet ten.

Rubio is an acceptable establishment candidate too, though. I thought Bush for sure until Rubio passed him.
TBR
Posts: 9,991
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2/1/2016 5:20:18 PM
Posted: 10 months ago
At 2/1/2016 5:18:14 PM, Wylted wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:13:21 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:11:52 PM, Wylted wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:09:00 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:05:26 PM, Wylted wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:02:18 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 4:59:24 PM, Wylted wrote:
I heard Marco Rubio was sending his supporters to Trump to strategically knock Cruz out of the race early on.

I highly doubt that.

I did see it on facebook, so it's not the most reliable source.

It is really wait and see time. I posted my horse racing thread, and the theme is, the race is going. No more bets, just have to watch and wait.

I still think Jeb wins the nomination. This might be the perfect time to get good odds on that bet

WOW. OK, I am down on that. Name it!

The party decides, history has shown the person with the most insider support wins. Give me ten to one odds and I bet ten.

I will take it.
Wylted
Posts: 21,167
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2/1/2016 5:21:07 PM
Posted: 10 months ago
At 2/1/2016 5:20:18 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:18:14 PM, Wylted wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:13:21 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:11:52 PM, Wylted wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:09:00 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:05:26 PM, Wylted wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:02:18 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 4:59:24 PM, Wylted wrote:
I heard Marco Rubio was sending his supporters to Trump to strategically knock Cruz out of the race early on.

I highly doubt that.

I did see it on facebook, so it's not the most reliable source.

It is really wait and see time. I posted my horse racing thread, and the theme is, the race is going. No more bets, just have to watch and wait.

I still think Jeb wins the nomination. This might be the perfect time to get good odds on that bet

WOW. OK, I am down on that. Name it!

The party decides, history has shown the person with the most insider support wins. Give me ten to one odds and I bet ten.

I will take it.

Nice
TBR
Posts: 9,991
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2/1/2016 5:22:54 PM
Posted: 10 months ago
At 2/1/2016 5:18:14 PM, Wylted wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:13:21 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:11:52 PM, Wylted wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:09:00 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:05:26 PM, Wylted wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:02:18 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 4:59:24 PM, Wylted wrote:
I heard Marco Rubio was sending his supporters to Trump to strategically knock Cruz out of the race early on.

I highly doubt that.

I did see it on facebook, so it's not the most reliable source.

It is really wait and see time. I posted my horse racing thread, and the theme is, the race is going. No more bets, just have to watch and wait.

I still think Jeb wins the nomination. This might be the perfect time to get good odds on that bet

WOW. OK, I am down on that. Name it!

The party decides, history has shown the person with the most insider support wins. Give me ten to one odds and I bet ten.

You know... I have done some friendly bets on this site, none including cash. It might be a very bad thing for the site to facilitate this sort of thing. Rather than cash, I have no idea where you live, but I will put "gift" card at a restaurant of your choice if you win. OK?
Wylted
Posts: 21,167
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2/1/2016 5:24:15 PM
Posted: 10 months ago
At 2/1/2016 5:22:54 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:18:14 PM, Wylted wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:13:21 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:11:52 PM, Wylted wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:09:00 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:05:26 PM, Wylted wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:02:18 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 4:59:24 PM, Wylted wrote:
I heard Marco Rubio was sending his supporters to Trump to strategically knock Cruz out of the race early on.

I highly doubt that.

I did see it on facebook, so it's not the most reliable source.

It is really wait and see time. I posted my horse racing thread, and the theme is, the race is going. No more bets, just have to watch and wait.

I still think Jeb wins the nomination. This might be the perfect time to get good odds on that bet

WOW. OK, I am down on that. Name it!

The party decides, history has shown the person with the most insider support wins. Give me ten to one odds and I bet ten.

You know... I have done some friendly bets on this site, none including cash. It might be a very bad thing for the site to facilitate this sort of thing. Rather than cash, I have no idea where you live, but I will put "gift" card at a restaurant of your choice if you win. OK?

Fine, I'll do the same
TBR
Posts: 9,991
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2/1/2016 5:24:32 PM
Posted: 10 months ago
At 2/1/2016 5:24:15 PM, Wylted wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:22:54 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:18:14 PM, Wylted wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:13:21 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:11:52 PM, Wylted wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:09:00 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:05:26 PM, Wylted wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:02:18 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 4:59:24 PM, Wylted wrote:
I heard Marco Rubio was sending his supporters to Trump to strategically knock Cruz out of the race early on.

I highly doubt that.

I did see it on facebook, so it's not the most reliable source.

It is really wait and see time. I posted my horse racing thread, and the theme is, the race is going. No more bets, just have to watch and wait.

I still think Jeb wins the nomination. This might be the perfect time to get good odds on that bet

WOW. OK, I am down on that. Name it!

The party decides, history has shown the person with the most insider support wins. Give me ten to one odds and I bet ten.

You know... I have done some friendly bets on this site, none including cash. It might be a very bad thing for the site to facilitate this sort of thing. Rather than cash, I have no idea where you live, but I will put "gift" card at a restaurant of your choice if you win. OK?

Fine, I'll do the same

Deal!
Geogeer
Posts: 4,244
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2/1/2016 6:58:32 PM
Posted: 10 months ago
At 2/1/2016 5:24:32 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:24:15 PM, Wylted wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:22:54 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:18:14 PM, Wylted wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:13:21 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:11:52 PM, Wylted wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:09:00 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:05:26 PM, Wylted wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:02:18 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 4:59:24 PM, Wylted wrote:
I heard Marco Rubio was sending his supporters to Trump to strategically knock Cruz out of the race early on.

I highly doubt that.

I did see it on facebook, so it's not the most reliable source.

It is really wait and see time. I posted my horse racing thread, and the theme is, the race is going. No more bets, just have to watch and wait.

I still think Jeb wins the nomination. This might be the perfect time to get good odds on that bet

WOW. OK, I am down on that. Name it!

The party decides, history has shown the person with the most insider support wins. Give me ten to one odds and I bet ten.

You know... I have done some friendly bets on this site, none including cash. It might be a very bad thing for the site to facilitate this sort of thing. Rather than cash, I have no idea where you live, but I will put "gift" card at a restaurant of your choice if you win. OK?

Fine, I'll do the same

Deal!

Great, now we'll have British bookies moving into the site...
TBR
Posts: 9,991
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2/1/2016 6:59:45 PM
Posted: 10 months ago
At 2/1/2016 6:58:32 PM, Geogeer wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:24:32 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:24:15 PM, Wylted wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:22:54 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:18:14 PM, Wylted wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:13:21 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:11:52 PM, Wylted wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:09:00 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:05:26 PM, Wylted wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:02:18 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 4:59:24 PM, Wylted wrote:
I heard Marco Rubio was sending his supporters to Trump to strategically knock Cruz out of the race early on.

I highly doubt that.

I did see it on facebook, so it's not the most reliable source.

It is really wait and see time. I posted my horse racing thread, and the theme is, the race is going. No more bets, just have to watch and wait.

I still think Jeb wins the nomination. This might be the perfect time to get good odds on that bet

WOW. OK, I am down on that. Name it!

The party decides, history has shown the person with the most insider support wins. Give me ten to one odds and I bet ten.

You know... I have done some friendly bets on this site, none including cash. It might be a very bad thing for the site to facilitate this sort of thing. Rather than cash, I have no idea where you live, but I will put "gift" card at a restaurant of your choice if you win. OK?

Fine, I'll do the same

Deal!

Great, now we'll have British bookies moving into the site...

Its the decline and fall of western-Christian civilization, right?
Geogeer
Posts: 4,244
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2/1/2016 7:00:28 PM
Posted: 10 months ago
At 2/1/2016 6:59:45 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 6:58:32 PM, Geogeer wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:24:32 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:24:15 PM, Wylted wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:22:54 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:18:14 PM, Wylted wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:13:21 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:11:52 PM, Wylted wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:09:00 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:05:26 PM, Wylted wrote:
At 2/1/2016 5:02:18 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/1/2016 4:59:24 PM, Wylted wrote:
I heard Marco Rubio was sending his supporters to Trump to strategically knock Cruz out of the race early on.

I highly doubt that.

I did see it on facebook, so it's not the most reliable source.

It is really wait and see time. I posted my horse racing thread, and the theme is, the race is going. No more bets, just have to watch and wait.

I still think Jeb wins the nomination. This might be the perfect time to get good odds on that bet

WOW. OK, I am down on that. Name it!

The party decides, history has shown the person with the most insider support wins. Give me ten to one odds and I bet ten.

You know... I have done some friendly bets on this site, none including cash. It might be a very bad thing for the site to facilitate this sort of thing. Rather than cash, I have no idea where you live, but I will put "gift" card at a restaurant of your choice if you win. OK?

Fine, I'll do the same

Deal!

Great, now we'll have British bookies moving into the site...

Its the decline and fall of western-Christian civilization, right?

But of course.