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NH predictions

TBR
Posts: 9,991
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2/8/2016 3:30:42 PM
Posted: 2 years ago
Sanders by 30 is crazy talk. He will take it, but by 10+, not much more

Republicans... I got to say, I'm not willing to put any bets down on them this round. After Rubio second run in with inability stand up to even mild pressure, I have to think he is not going to make it, and Trump... I think his movement is showing how vertical it really is. Ok, I will call it for Trump, but who knows.
MakeSensePeopleDont
Posts: 1,551
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2/8/2016 3:53:09 PM
Posted: 2 years ago
At 2/8/2016 3:30:42 PM, TBR wrote:
Sanders by 30 is crazy talk. He will take it, but by 10+, not much more

Republicans... I got to say, I'm not willing to put any bets down on them this round. After Rubio second run in with inability stand up to even mild pressure, I have to think he is not going to make it, and Trump... I think his movement is showing how vertical it really is. Ok, I will call it for Trump, but who knows.

Hacksaw Jim Duggan FTW

It's about that predictable at this point right?
ColeTrain
Posts: 4,693
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2/8/2016 4:30:22 PM
Posted: 2 years ago
At 2/8/2016 3:30:42 PM, TBR wrote:
Sanders by 30 is crazy talk. He will take it, but by 10+, not much more

Republicans... I got to say, I'm not willing to put any bets down on them this round. After Rubio second run in with inability stand up to even mild pressure, I have to think he is not going to make it, and Trump... I think his movement is showing how vertical it really is. Ok, I will call it for Trump, but who knows.

Sanders and Rubio is my call. :)
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imabench
Posts: 21,947
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2/8/2016 4:32:32 PM
Posted: 2 years ago
At 2/8/2016 3:30:42 PM, TBR wrote:
Sanders by 30 is crazy talk. He will take it, but by 10+, not much more

If he does win by only 10 then that would be a heck of a hit... He was winning by +20 less in NH than a week ago, if he's down to half that before he has to walk into an a** whipping in South Carolina, it could be what convinces everyone that Clinton cant be beaten.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com...

Republicans... I got to say, I'm not willing to put any bets down on them this round. After Rubio second run in with inability stand up to even mild pressure, I have to think he is not going to make it, and Trump... I think his movement is showing how vertical it really is. Ok, I will call it for Trump, but who knows.

Trump will win first but who wins second is up for grabs. I bet Kasich slips in for the win because Christie whipped the sh** out of Rubio in that debate, and Kasich was only 4 points behind him before that

http://www.realclearpolitics.com...
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TBR
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2/8/2016 4:59:41 PM
Posted: 2 years ago
At 2/8/2016 4:32:32 PM, imabench wrote:
At 2/8/2016 3:30:42 PM, TBR wrote:
Sanders by 30 is crazy talk. He will take it, but by 10+, not much more

If he does win by only 10 then that would be a heck of a hit... He was winning by +20 less in NH than a week ago, if he's down to half that before he has to walk into an a** whipping in South Carolina, it could be what convinces everyone that Clinton cant be beaten.

Yea. Look. 30% is just not real. Not trying to lower expectations, but I think it is just not possible. It COULD be 20%, but that is a stretch. I will put it at.... 14?


http://www.realclearpolitics.com...

Republicans... I got to say, I'm not willing to put any bets down on them this round. After Rubio second run in with inability stand up to even mild pressure, I have to think he is not going to make it, and Trump... I think his movement is showing how vertical it really is. Ok, I will call it for Trump, but who knows.

Trump will win first but who wins second is up for grabs. I bet Kasich slips in for the win because Christie whipped the sh** out of Rubio in that debate, and Kasich was only 4 points behind him before that

http://www.realclearpolitics.com...

The GOP is very worried right now. Rubio looked like he was going make a real move, and blew it all. I could stop making jokes about drinking water, then the guy comes back with this stuff. He just can't deal with the pressure, and it shows.
imabench
Posts: 21,947
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2/8/2016 5:16:32 PM
Posted: 2 years ago
At 2/8/2016 4:59:41 PM, TBR wrote:
At 2/8/2016 4:32:32 PM, imabench wrote:
At 2/8/2016 3:30:42 PM, TBR wrote:
Sanders by 30 is crazy talk. He will take it, but by 10+, not much more

If he does win by only 10 then that would be a heck of a hit... He was winning by +20 less in NH than a week ago, if he's down to half that before he has to walk into an a** whipping in South Carolina, it could be what convinces everyone that Clinton cant be beaten.

Yea. Look. 30% is just not real. Not trying to lower expectations, but I think it is just not possible. It COULD be 20%, but that is a stretch. I will put it at.... 14?

It used to be 20 but unless Clinton says something Antisemetic towards Sanders and soon he'll probably get a 13-15 win. If he drops lower then that though then the South Carolina whipping will only make this slim victory look that much worse.... He needs a dominant win that he didnt get in Iowa and wont get anywhere else. If he cant win big in New Hampshire, his experiment of a campaign will be finished for 2016

Republicans... I got to say, I'm not willing to put any bets down on them this round. After Rubio second run in with inability stand up to even mild pressure, I have to think he is not going to make it, and Trump... I think his movement is showing how vertical it really is. Ok, I will call it for Trump, but who knows.

Trump will win first but who wins second is up for grabs. I bet Kasich slips in for the win because Christie whipped the sh** out of Rubio in that debate, and Kasich was only 4 points behind him before that

http://www.realclearpolitics.com...

The GOP is very worried right now. Rubio looked like he was going make a real move, and blew it all. I could stop making jokes about drinking water, then the guy comes back with this stuff. He just can't deal with the pressure, and it shows.

He seems like he is caught between being a political outsider and being an establishment moderate, not fitting in with any one side.
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1harderthanyouthink
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2/8/2016 7:54:50 PM
Posted: 2 years ago
Sanders by 16%, +/- 4%

Trump by 13%, +/- 3% - then Kasich, Rubio, Cruz
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1harderthanyouthink
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2/8/2016 8:00:20 PM
Posted: 2 years ago
Fiorina will drop out immediately after NH, and then Bush will after South Carolina, and Carson after Nevada.
I'll see you on the Dark Side of the Moon.

So much has gone, and little is new.

DDO Risk King