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South Carolina Dem primary thread

1harderthanyouthink
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2/27/2016 2:31:17 PM
Posted: 9 months ago
The primary is today - last one before Super Tuesday.
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1harderthanyouthink
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2/27/2016 2:32:11 PM
Posted: 9 months ago
My range for the results of this is 57-43 to 62-38 (both wins for Clinton).
"It's awfully considerate of you to think of me here,
And I'm much obliged to you for making it clear - that I'm not here."

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1harderthanyouthink
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2/27/2016 3:13:45 PM
Posted: 9 months ago
At 2/27/2016 2:53:25 PM, EndarkenedRationalist wrote:
I don't think a thread needed to be made for this.

A thread will always be needed. Something interesting can always happen.
"It's awfully considerate of you to think of me here,
And I'm much obliged to you for making it clear - that I'm not here."

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thett3
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2/27/2016 3:35:05 PM
Posted: 9 months ago
Sanders is going to lose this by such a substantial margin that tomorrow the Bernie bots will be calling for a repeal of the 15th amendment
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: thett was right
1harderthanyouthink
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2/27/2016 3:39:50 PM
Posted: 9 months ago
At 2/27/2016 3:35:05 PM, thett3 wrote:
Sanders is going to lose this by such a substantial margin that tomorrow the Bernie bots will be calling for a repeal of the 15th amendment

It's a matter of making the margin as small as possible. We'll see how well he did.
"It's awfully considerate of you to think of me here,
And I'm much obliged to you for making it clear - that I'm not here."

-Syd Barrett

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1harderthanyouthink
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2/27/2016 8:52:10 PM
Posted: 9 months ago
I'll be using this for following the vote: http://www.enr-scvotes.org...
"It's awfully considerate of you to think of me here,
And I'm much obliged to you for making it clear - that I'm not here."

-Syd Barrett

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1harderthanyouthink
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2/28/2016 12:08:20 AM
Posted: 9 months ago
The primary has been called without a single reporting county.
"It's awfully considerate of you to think of me here,
And I'm much obliged to you for making it clear - that I'm not here."

-Syd Barrett

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TBR
Posts: 9,991
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2/28/2016 12:11:43 AM
Posted: 9 months ago
At 2/28/2016 12:08:20 AM, 1harderthanyouthink wrote:
The primary has been called without a single reporting county.

Yea, seeing that now. Wow, lets get excited!

Sounds like a very low turnout, and a real yawn of a primary.
1harderthanyouthink
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2/28/2016 12:12:26 AM
Posted: 9 months ago
At 2/28/2016 12:11:43 AM, TBR wrote:
At 2/28/2016 12:08:20 AM, 1harderthanyouthink wrote:
The primary has been called without a single reporting county.

Yea, seeing that now. Wow, lets get excited!

Sounds like a very low turnout, and a real yawn of a primary.

A low turnout could work in favor of Sanders.
"It's awfully considerate of you to think of me here,
And I'm much obliged to you for making it clear - that I'm not here."

-Syd Barrett

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Maikuru
Posts: 9,112
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2/28/2016 12:12:47 AM
Posted: 9 months ago
At 2/28/2016 12:08:20 AM, 1harderthanyouthink wrote:
The primary has been called without a single reporting county.

lol damn. I guess this didn't really need the thread after all.
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TBR
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2/28/2016 12:13:42 AM
Posted: 9 months ago
At 2/28/2016 12:12:26 AM, 1harderthanyouthink wrote:
At 2/28/2016 12:11:43 AM, TBR wrote:
At 2/28/2016 12:08:20 AM, 1harderthanyouthink wrote:
The primary has been called without a single reporting county.

Yea, seeing that now. Wow, lets get excited!

Sounds like a very low turnout, and a real yawn of a primary.

A low turnout could work in favor of Sanders.

It may, but really, I think it says more about Clinton. There is no great rush to GOTV for Clinton. There is just no excitement.
1harderthanyouthink
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2/28/2016 12:15:08 AM
Posted: 9 months ago
At 2/28/2016 12:13:42 AM, TBR wrote:
At 2/28/2016 12:12:26 AM, 1harderthanyouthink wrote:
At 2/28/2016 12:11:43 AM, TBR wrote:
At 2/28/2016 12:08:20 AM, 1harderthanyouthink wrote:
The primary has been called without a single reporting county.

Yea, seeing that now. Wow, lets get excited!

Sounds like a very low turnout, and a real yawn of a primary.

A low turnout could work in favor of Sanders.

It may, but really, I think it says more about Clinton. There is no great rush to GOTV for Clinton. There is just no excitement.

Yeah...
"It's awfully considerate of you to think of me here,
And I'm much obliged to you for making it clear - that I'm not here."

-Syd Barrett

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TBR
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2/28/2016 12:17:15 AM
Posted: 9 months ago
At 2/28/2016 12:12:26 AM, 1harderthanyouthink wrote:
At 2/28/2016 12:11:43 AM, TBR wrote:
At 2/28/2016 12:08:20 AM, 1harderthanyouthink wrote:
The primary has been called without a single reporting county.

Yea, seeing that now. Wow, lets get excited!

Sounds like a very low turnout, and a real yawn of a primary.

A low turnout could work in favor of Sanders.

She better raise a sh1tton of money for the general. I doubt she can get half the volunteer force Obama had or Sanders would have.

Trump is known for saying "low energy" about Bush, I say Clinton is "low excitement". Just about the most vanilla I could imagine
1harderthanyouthink
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2/28/2016 12:17:17 AM
Posted: 9 months ago
0% reporting and a 70-point margin for Clinton. On the bright side, Sanders has room to move a bit closer as more than one small town reports.
"It's awfully considerate of you to think of me here,
And I'm much obliged to you for making it clear - that I'm not here."

-Syd Barrett

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TBR
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2/28/2016 12:18:14 AM
Posted: 9 months ago
At 2/28/2016 12:17:17 AM, 1harderthanyouthink wrote:
0% reporting and a 70-point margin for Clinton. On the bright side, Sanders has room to move a bit closer as more than one small town reports.

Where did you see the 70 point margin?
1harderthanyouthink
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2/28/2016 12:20:03 AM
Posted: 9 months ago
At 2/28/2016 12:18:14 AM, TBR wrote:
At 2/28/2016 12:17:17 AM, 1harderthanyouthink wrote:
0% reporting and a 70-point margin for Clinton. On the bright side, Sanders has room to move a bit closer as more than one small town reports.

Where did you see the 70 point margin?

Google search gave it with a 0% reporting.
"It's awfully considerate of you to think of me here,
And I'm much obliged to you for making it clear - that I'm not here."

-Syd Barrett

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TBR
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2/28/2016 12:21:28 AM
Posted: 9 months ago
At 2/28/2016 12:20:03 AM, 1harderthanyouthink wrote:
At 2/28/2016 12:18:14 AM, TBR wrote:
At 2/28/2016 12:17:17 AM, 1harderthanyouthink wrote:
0% reporting and a 70-point margin for Clinton. On the bright side, Sanders has room to move a bit closer as more than one small town reports.

Where did you see the 70 point margin?

Google search gave it with a 0% reporting.

I am seeing 78/20 with 3700 votes in.
TBR
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2/28/2016 12:23:45 AM
Posted: 9 months ago
At 2/27/2016 2:31:17 PM, 1harderthanyouthink wrote:
The primary is today - last one before Super Tuesday.

The question now is the spread. I think it will land ~25%.
EndarkenedRationalist
Posts: 14,201
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2/28/2016 12:24:51 AM
Posted: 9 months ago
At 2/28/2016 12:08:20 AM, 1harderthanyouthink wrote:
The primary has been called without a single reporting county.

Why are you surprised? Sanders has negative chances of winning South Carolina.
EndarkenedRationalist
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2/28/2016 12:40:25 AM
Posted: 9 months ago
Entirely too many people voting tonight in South Carolina said they voted for Clinton becuase "it's time for the first female president." This actually disgusts me. This is an atrocious, reprehensible surfacing of identity politics, and I'm sure YYW could make an eloquent thread about it.
1harderthanyouthink
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2/28/2016 12:45:54 AM
Posted: 9 months ago
At 2/28/2016 12:40:25 AM, EndarkenedRationalist wrote:
Entirely too many people voting tonight in South Carolina said they voted for Clinton becuase "it's time for the first female president." This actually disgusts me. This is an atrocious, reprehensible surfacing of identity politics, and I'm sure YYW could make an eloquent thread about it.

Indeed
"It's awfully considerate of you to think of me here,
And I'm much obliged to you for making it clear - that I'm not here."

-Syd Barrett

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1harderthanyouthink
Posts: 13,102
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2/28/2016 12:46:27 AM
Posted: 9 months ago
At 2/28/2016 12:21:28 AM, TBR wrote:
At 2/28/2016 12:20:03 AM, 1harderthanyouthink wrote:
At 2/28/2016 12:18:14 AM, TBR wrote:
At 2/28/2016 12:17:17 AM, 1harderthanyouthink wrote:
0% reporting and a 70-point margin for Clinton. On the bright side, Sanders has room to move a bit closer as more than one small town reports.

Where did you see the 70 point margin?

Google search gave it with a 0% reporting.

I am seeing 78/20 with 3700 votes in.

Then Sanders is making record-quick gains.
"It's awfully considerate of you to think of me here,
And I'm much obliged to you for making it clear - that I'm not here."

-Syd Barrett

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EndarkenedRationalist
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2/28/2016 12:47:40 AM
Posted: 9 months ago
At 2/28/2016 12:45:54 AM, 1harderthanyouthink wrote:
At 2/28/2016 12:40:25 AM, EndarkenedRationalist wrote:
Entirely too many people voting tonight in South Carolina said they voted for Clinton becuase "it's time for the first female president." This actually disgusts me. This is an atrocious, reprehensible surfacing of identity politics, and I'm sure YYW could make an eloquent thread about it.

Indeed

I actually have no idea what your thoughts are on the whole identity politics/SJW stance. Do you agree with YYW?
1harderthanyouthink
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2/28/2016 12:48:43 AM
Posted: 9 months ago
At 2/28/2016 12:47:40 AM, EndarkenedRationalist wrote:
At 2/28/2016 12:45:54 AM, 1harderthanyouthink wrote:
At 2/28/2016 12:40:25 AM, EndarkenedRationalist wrote:
Entirely too many people voting tonight in South Carolina said they voted for Clinton becuase "it's time for the first female president." This actually disgusts me. This is an atrocious, reprehensible surfacing of identity politics, and I'm sure YYW could make an eloquent thread about it.

Indeed

I actually have no idea what your thoughts are on the whole identity politics/SJW stance. Do you agree with YYW?

It disgusts me more than anyone that people would vote for her just because she's a woman. If she were still in I'd ask if they'd vote Fiorina over Sanders.
"It's awfully considerate of you to think of me here,
And I'm much obliged to you for making it clear - that I'm not here."

-Syd Barrett

DDO Risk King
1harderthanyouthink
Posts: 13,102
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2/28/2016 12:50:30 AM
Posted: 9 months ago
All counties are reporting under 10% turnout - though I don't know if those are estimates or just based off of reported votes.
"It's awfully considerate of you to think of me here,
And I'm much obliged to you for making it clear - that I'm not here."

-Syd Barrett

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mc9
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2/28/2016 12:53:13 AM
Posted: 9 months ago
At 2/28/2016 12:45:54 AM, 1harderthanyouthink wrote:
At 2/28/2016 12:40:25 AM, EndarkenedRationalist wrote:
Entirely too many people voting tonight in South Carolina said they voted for Clinton becuase "it's time for the first female president." This actually disgusts me. This is an atrocious, reprehensible surfacing of identity politics, and I'm sure YYW could make an eloquent thread about it.

Indeed

+1
mc9
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2/28/2016 12:54:08 AM
Posted: 9 months ago
At 2/28/2016 12:48:43 AM, 1harderthanyouthink wrote:
At 2/28/2016 12:47:40 AM, EndarkenedRationalist wrote:
At 2/28/2016 12:45:54 AM, 1harderthanyouthink wrote:
At 2/28/2016 12:40:25 AM, EndarkenedRationalist wrote:
Entirely too many people voting tonight in South Carolina said they voted for Clinton becuase "it's time for the first female president." This actually disgusts me. This is an atrocious, reprehensible surfacing of identity politics, and I'm sure YYW could make an eloquent thread about it.

Indeed

I actually have no idea what your thoughts are on the whole identity politics/SJW stance. Do you agree with YYW?

It disgusts me more than anyone that people would vote for her just because she's a woman. If she were still in I'd ask if they'd vote Fiorina over Sanders.

But if you were to vote Sanders over hillary because he's a man, you would be black balled and criticized to no extent
1harderthanyouthink
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2/28/2016 1:02:06 AM
Posted: 9 months ago
At 18% the lead us about 55%.
"It's awfully considerate of you to think of me here,
And I'm much obliged to you for making it clear - that I'm not here."

-Syd Barrett

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EndarkenedRationalist
Posts: 14,201
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2/28/2016 1:08:20 AM
Posted: 9 months ago
At 2/28/2016 12:23:45 AM, TBR wrote:
At 2/27/2016 2:31:17 PM, 1harderthanyouthink wrote:
The primary is today - last one before Super Tuesday.

The question now is the spread. I think it will land ~25%.

I hope it can seeing that much. The gap is insane right now.