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Can Trump win the Midwest In a General?

bsh1
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3/22/2016 4:38:18 AM
Posted: 8 months ago
The numbers don't seem to favor him:

"But a new examination of the demographics and projected voting patterns in some of the key Rust Belt states underscores just how unlikely this really is. To succeed, this analysis finds, Trump would likely have to improve on Mitt Romney"s advantage over Barack Obama among blue collar whites by double digit margins, which is an astronomically high bar " in almost all of these states." [https://www.washingtonpost.com...]

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bsh1
Posts: 27,503
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3/22/2016 4:39:15 AM
Posted: 8 months ago
From the same source:

"The rub of the matter is that Trump"s goal of winning by running up big margins among whites could be made even harder by ongoing demographic shifts that are slowly rendering even whiter Rust Belt states less white. The CAP report found that in a number of these states " Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Ohio " the blue collar white share of the vote is projected to decline by at least two percentage points, and the overall white share is projected to drop by around one point."
Live Long and Prosper

I'm a Bish.


"Twilight isn't just about obtuse metaphors between cannibalism and premarital sex, it also teaches us the futility of hope." - Raisor

"[Bsh1] is the Guinan of DDO." - ButterCatX

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