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Western Tuesday to 3/26 primaries thread

1harderthanyouthink
Posts: 13,622
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3/22/2016 3:57:11 PM
Posted: 1 year ago
These contests can more or less deal the nominees. Cruz needs to win over 50% of Utah, and he needs to hope that Rubio's drop-out can push him over Trump in Arizona.

Bernie needs stronger showings than polling showed in Arizona, mostly.
Why?

DDO Risk King
Raisor
Posts: 5,062
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3/22/2016 5:44:23 PM
Posted: 1 year ago
At 3/22/2016 3:57:11 PM, 1harderthanyouthink wrote:
These contests can more or less deal the nominees. Cruz needs to win over 50% of Utah, and he needs to hope that Rubio's drop-out can push him over Trump in Arizona.

Bernie needs stronger showings than polling showed in Arizona, mostly.

The democratic primary is over, Hillary already has it.
We gonna pull up like the ice cream truck
1harderthanyouthink
Posts: 13,622
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3/22/2016 5:54:33 PM
Posted: 1 year ago
At 3/22/2016 5:44:23 PM, Raisor wrote:
At 3/22/2016 3:57:11 PM, 1harderthanyouthink wrote:
These contests can more or less deal the nominees. Cruz needs to win over 50% of Utah, and he needs to hope that Rubio's drop-out can push him over Trump in Arizona.

Bernie needs stronger showings than polling showed in Arizona, mostly.

The democratic primary is over, Hillary already has it.

He would need a comeback of massive improbability to win, I agree.
Why?

DDO Risk King
inferno
Posts: 12,047
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3/22/2016 6:01:24 PM
Posted: 1 year ago
At 3/22/2016 3:57:11 PM, 1harderthanyouthink wrote:
These contests can more or less deal the nominees. Cruz needs to win over 50% of Utah, and he needs to hope that Rubio's drop-out can push him over Trump in Arizona.

Bernie needs stronger showings than polling showed in Arizona, mostly.

It doesn't matter. The Dems have too much momentum going into November.
It will be a miracle if the GOP can beat Hillary. My third eye says not a chance in hell. =)
TN05
Posts: 4,679
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3/23/2016 3:22:43 AM
Posted: 1 year ago
Lol, Cruz only has about as many votes as all non-Drumpf Republicans combined. Cruz camp said if they got out, he'd win. Well...
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1harderthanyouthink
Posts: 13,622
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3/23/2016 3:58:52 AM
Posted: 1 year ago
At 3/23/2016 3:39:17 AM, EndarkenedRationalist wrote:
I have no idea what's happening with Arizona. 41%, 51%, 4%, 3%, 1%, 0%. It's so bizarre.

http://usuncut.com...
Why?

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1harderthanyouthink
Posts: 13,622
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3/23/2016 8:54:27 AM
Posted: 1 year ago
Resounding wins for Bernie in Idaho and Utah. But due to state sizes, they may be more wins in spirit than good for the campaign.

Cruz did what he needed to in Utah, but not Arizona.
Why?

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1harderthanyouthink
Posts: 13,622
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3/23/2016 8:59:05 AM
Posted: 1 year ago
Sanders needs to win Alaska, Hawaii, and Washington on Saturday. If he wins Washington by enough, he could make some small delegate gains.
Why?

DDO Risk King
thett3
Posts: 15,414
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3/26/2016 8:34:20 PM
Posted: 1 year ago
Washington is made for Sanders, you're hardly going to get a better state for him. It looks like he won big in Alaska, too. We won't know about Hawaii for several hours but it's probably one of the strangest states in the country demographically so predicting anything is difficult
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: At 11/12/2016 11:49:40 PM, Raisor wrote:
: thett was right
Hayd
Posts: 4,350
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3/26/2016 8:36:00 PM
Posted: 1 year ago
At 3/26/2016 8:33:22 PM, 1harderthanyouthink wrote:
At 3/26/2016 8:32:04 PM, Hayd wrote:
whats happening in arizona so far?

Arizona had their primary on Tuesday.

wow, thats embarrassing, I dont even know the result. What was it?
1harderthanyouthink
Posts: 13,622
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3/26/2016 8:38:24 PM
Posted: 1 year ago
At 3/26/2016 8:36:00 PM, Hayd wrote:
At 3/26/2016 8:33:22 PM, 1harderthanyouthink wrote:
At 3/26/2016 8:32:04 PM, Hayd wrote:
whats happening in arizona so far?

Arizona had their primary on Tuesday.

wow, thats embarrassing, I dont even know the result. What was it?

Clinton and Trump.
Why?

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Hayd
Posts: 4,350
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3/26/2016 8:39:15 PM
Posted: 1 year ago
At 3/26/2016 8:38:24 PM, 1harderthanyouthink wrote:
At 3/26/2016 8:36:00 PM, Hayd wrote:
At 3/26/2016 8:33:22 PM, 1harderthanyouthink wrote:
At 3/26/2016 8:32:04 PM, Hayd wrote:
whats happening in arizona so far?

Arizona had their primary on Tuesday.

wow, thats embarrassing, I dont even know the result. What was it?

Clinton and Trump.

Thanks :)
1harderthanyouthink
Posts: 13,622
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3/26/2016 10:19:40 PM
Posted: 1 year ago
So they called Alaska for Sanders (79.2-20.8 - 73% in)...but they somehow haven't called Washington yet...he's up 77.3-22.5 with 29% in.
Why?

DDO Risk King
imabench
Posts: 21,919
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3/26/2016 10:54:21 PM
Posted: 1 year ago
At 3/26/2016 10:19:40 PM, 1harderthanyouthink wrote:
So they called Alaska for Sanders (79.2-20.8 - 73% in)...but they somehow haven't called Washington yet...he's up 77.3-22.5 with 29% in.

If Sanders pulls out wins in both states at the current rate he is going he'll only gain 22 delegates on Hillary
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1harderthanyouthink
Posts: 13,622
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3/26/2016 11:17:38 PM
Posted: 1 year ago
At 3/26/2016 10:54:21 PM, imabench wrote:
At 3/26/2016 10:19:40 PM, 1harderthanyouthink wrote:
So they called Alaska for Sanders (79.2-20.8 - 73% in)...but they somehow haven't called Washington yet...he's up 77.3-22.5 with 29% in.

If Sanders pulls out wins in both states at the current rate he is going he'll only gain 22 delegates on Hillary

Not sure if that math is correct...
Why?

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imabench
Posts: 21,919
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3/27/2016 12:01:12 AM
Posted: 1 year ago
At 3/26/2016 11:17:38 PM, 1harderthanyouthink wrote:
At 3/26/2016 10:54:21 PM, imabench wrote:
At 3/26/2016 10:19:40 PM, 1harderthanyouthink wrote:
So they called Alaska for Sanders (79.2-20.8 - 73% in)...but they somehow haven't called Washington yet...he's up 77.3-22.5 with 29% in.

If Sanders pulls out wins in both states at the current rate he is going he'll only gain 22 delegates on Hillary

Not sure if that math is correct...

http://www.realclearpolitics.com...

Sanders wins Alaska 18 to 5, picking up +13 over Hillary

Sanders wins Alaska 9 to 0, picking up +9 over Hillary

Put together he gains +22
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Greyparrot
Posts: 17,904
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3/27/2016 12:03:05 AM
Posted: 1 year ago
At 3/26/2016 8:34:20 PM, thett3 wrote:
Washington is made for Sanders, you're hardly going to get a better state for him. It looks like he won big in Alaska, too. We won't know about Hawaii for several hours but it's probably one of the strangest states in the country demographically so predicting anything is difficult

The longer Bernie drags this out, the worse for Hillary.
I find myself intrigued by your subvocal oscillations.
A singular development of cat communications
That obviates your basic hedonistic predilection,
For a rhythmic stroking of your fur to demonstrate affection.
1harderthanyouthink
Posts: 13,622
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3/27/2016 12:03:55 AM
Posted: 1 year ago
At 3/27/2016 12:01:12 AM, imabench wrote:
At 3/26/2016 11:17:38 PM, 1harderthanyouthink wrote:
At 3/26/2016 10:54:21 PM, imabench wrote:
At 3/26/2016 10:19:40 PM, 1harderthanyouthink wrote:
So they called Alaska for Sanders (79.2-20.8 - 73% in)...but they somehow haven't called Washington yet...he's up 77.3-22.5 with 29% in.

If Sanders pulls out wins in both states at the current rate he is going he'll only gain 22 delegates on Hillary

Not sure if that math is correct...

http://www.realclearpolitics.com...

Sanders wins Alaska 18 to 5, picking up +13 over Hillary

Sanders wins Alaska 9 to 0, picking up +9 over Hillary

Put together he gains +22

Washington gives out 101 delegates, and Alaska gives 16.
Why?

DDO Risk King