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An interesting solution to current polling?

Blade-of-Truth
Posts: 5,027
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11/11/2016 9:00:37 AM
Posted: 3 weeks ago
http://www.cnbc.com...

Perhaps this is the key to regaining accuracy in polling. However, it isn't really polling at all. AI to the rescue!
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Lynx_N
Posts: 276
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11/11/2016 2:16:31 PM
Posted: 3 weeks ago
Most interesting, thanks for sharing.

http://primarymodel.com...

Next time I'll just take my chances with this one instead.
A computer can't lie, unless of course some human programs it to.
Bronto?
Congrats.

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Fernyx
Posts: 313
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11/11/2016 2:55:19 PM
Posted: 3 weeks ago
At 11/11/2016 9:00:37 AM, Blade-of-Truth wrote:
http://www.cnbc.com...

Perhaps this is the key to regaining accuracy in polling. However, it isn't really polling at all. AI to the rescue!

It was right in calling the elections, however it said that Trump was more popular than Obama in 2008. Trump did not even break McCain's numbers much less Romney's. The flaw is it does not take into account age of the people it finds and how vocal a group is for their candidate. I expect that it would have predicted a Bernie landslide win in the primaries.
Blade-of-Truth
Posts: 5,027
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11/11/2016 7:26:03 PM
Posted: 3 weeks ago
At 11/11/2016 2:55:19 PM, Fernyx wrote:
At 11/11/2016 9:00:37 AM, Blade-of-Truth wrote:
http://www.cnbc.com...

Perhaps this is the key to regaining accuracy in polling. However, it isn't really polling at all. AI to the rescue!

It was right in calling the elections, however it said that Trump was more popular than Obama in 2008. Trump did not even break McCain's numbers much less Romney's.

Yup, I think that prediction was a little stretched. The main prediction came true though, which is deserving of praise in light of the majority of polls that were horribly incorrect.

The flaw is it does not take into account age of the people it finds and how vocal a group is for their candidate. I expect that it would have predicted a Bernie landslide win in the primaries.

I'm not sure, I'd have to look more into that.
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