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Arctic Sea Ice Melting

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9/22/2015 6:12:53 PM
Posted: 2 years ago
According to NASA, Arctic sea ice has been melting -- from August -- at an extremely high rate, the fourth fastest melting rate ever. An article in LiveScience is quoted:

This year's minimum sea-ice extent in the Arctic was the fourth lowest since satellite observations began, NASA announced yesterday (Sept. 15).

The ice cap floating on the ocean in the Arctic shrinks and expands with the seasons, reaching its maximum extent in March and its minimum in September.

This summer, the Arctic sea ice retreated to 1.70 million square miles (4.41 million square kilometers), hitting its annual minimum on Sept. 11, according to a joint analysis by NASA and the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC) in Boulder, Colorado. That's 699,000 square miles (1.81 million square km) less than the average minimum for all years between 1981 and 2010.

"This year is the fourth lowest, and yet we haven't seen any major weather event or persistent weather pattern in the Arctic this summer that helped push the extent lower as often happens," Walt Meier, a sea-ice scientist at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center, said in a statement. "It was a bit warmer in some areas than last year, but it was cooler in other places, too."

Accelerating melt

Arctic sea ice has been in decline since at least the 1970s due to climate change, and recent research reveals the thinning is accelerating. According to a study published in March in the journal The Cryosphere, September sea ice thinned 85 percent (from 9.8 feet to 1.4 feet, or 3 to 0.43 m) between 1975 and 2012. This thinning translates to less ice cover and more open ocean as the melt eats away at the ice pack.

Arctic sea ice hit a record minimum in 2012, when the ice covered a mere 1.32 million square miles (3.41 million square km). The low was driven partially by an August storm, according to NASA.

Scientists aren't soothed by the slight bump in sea-ice minimums since 2012; the numbers are still low and represent an ongoing downward trend. In fact, Meier said, sea ice is becoming less and less resilient. There was no unusual weather fragmenting the ice pack this year.

"The sea-ice cap, which used to be a solid sheet of ice, now is fragmented into smaller floes that are more exposed to warm ocean waters," he said. "In the past, Arctic sea ice was like a fortress. The ocean could only attack it from the sides. Now, it's like the invaders have tunneled in from underneath and the ice pack melts from within."

2015 trends

In June, Arctic ice melted relatively slowly, NASA reported. But faster-than-normal melt began in July and continued through August. North of Alaska, an ice-free "hole" opened up in the ice pack covering the Beaufort and Chukchi seas, which allowed the ocean to absorb more heat, further eating away at the ice.

El Nino, an ocean-atmosphere pattern that warms the eastern Pacific near the equator, isn't known to have an effect on Arctic summer ice. But as the ice thins, that could change, Goddard climate modeler Richard Cullather said in the statement.

"Although we haven't been able to detect a strong El Nino impact on Arctic sea ice yet, now that the ice is thinner and more mobile, we should begin to see a larger response to atmospheric events from lower latitudes," Cullather said.
Just because you're magic doesn't mean you aren't real.
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10/1/2015 10:28:34 PM
Posted: 2 years ago
At 10/1/2015 2:55:16 PM, tejretics wrote:

If memory serves me correctly, a chunk of ice in Hudson's bay persisted abnormally long this year. I wonder if that had anything to do with the "quick" drop being referred to in this article.
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10/3/2015 6:02:28 AM
Posted: 2 years ago
The Pacific Decadal Oscillation, a natural phenomenon, clears the Arctic of ice every 60 or 70 years. The Arctic was cleared of ice in the late 1930s and before that in the 1880s. Chinese mariners noted the Arctic being clear of ice way back in the Middle Ages. National Geographic published an article on this periodic phenomenon around 1970, before global warming crisis was invented.

As the Arctic Ice diminishes, the Antarctic ice increases. The Antarctic ice has reached record levels in recent years.

Here is a graph of the total sea ice and the anomally:

There has been a slight downward trend since 1979. Looking at the graph it might be around 4% or so.

Note the reference in the original article to the extremes recorded since there have been satellites. That's a very short time.