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Bowl Games

Ore_Ele
Posts: 25,980
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12/30/2014 12:20:12 AM
Posted: 1 year ago
With 12 games down (out of 29) Vegas is only 5-7 (losers!) while I enjoy a wonderful 6-6.
"Wanting Red Rhino Pill to have gender"
Ore_Ele
Posts: 25,980
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12/31/2014 11:25:25 PM
Posted: 1 year ago
I'm +2 over Vegas right now with only 3 games left that we disagree on.
"Wanting Red Rhino Pill to have gender"
Ore_Ele
Posts: 25,980
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1/3/2015 7:02:33 PM
Posted: 1 year ago
All bowl games are over and what did we learn? Well, the Pac-12 has the best offense in the land. Averaging 40.25 points per game, they were miles ahead of the next best, the SEC at 31.2 points per game.

Based on Vegas predictions for offense and defense, the most underrated conference was...

The Pac-12 with a 6 point differential from what Vegas predicted (Vegas put them at average of +5.875 and they finished with an average of +11.875)

The next most underrated was the Big Ten. Vegas gave them a prediction of 0-10 for bowl games and they finished 5-5. Vegas predicted the final scores would average 25.2-31.5, a -6.3 point differential. Instead, they finished 30.5-35.5, only a -5 point differential (1.3 points better than expected).

After them comes the ACC. They can really thank Clemson for carrying the water for their averages (who won 40-6). Vegas had them as a -2.27 diff, but they finished only -1.64 diff (for .63 points better than expected).

Now, lets look at those that were over estimated. The SEC was supposed to be a 4.42 point favorite on average, but they finished only 2.92 points ahead, meaning they were overestimated by 1.5 points per game. If you look at just the SEC West, they were supposed to win by an average of 31-26.57, a 4.43 point spread. They failed and performed only a -4.57 point spread, giving them a 9 point (per game) over estimation. Meanwhile, the SEC East was the opposite, they over performed their Vegas estimations by 9 points per game (but since their were only 5 of them to the 7 West teams, as a whole, the conference did worse than expected).

What really hurts is the Big 12. Vegas had them going 5-2 and they only went 2-5. They underperformed by 3.7 points per game, and if not for TCU as the only bright spot forthe team, they would have been 10.3 points under expectations (Shows that TCU is the leader of the division, sorry Baylor, you are no longer in the same conversation).
"Wanting Red Rhino Pill to have gender"
birdlandmemories
Posts: 4,140
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1/6/2015 10:40:12 PM
Posted: 1 year ago
At 1/3/2015 7:02:33 PM, Ore_Ele wrote:
All bowl games are over and what did we learn? Well, the Pac-12 has the best offense in the land. Averaging 40.25 points per game, they were miles ahead of the next best, the SEC at 31.2 points per game.

Based on Vegas predictions for offense and defense, the most underrated conference was...

The Pac-12 with a 6 point differential from what Vegas predicted (Vegas put them at average of +5.875 and they finished with an average of +11.875)

The next most underrated was the Big Ten. Vegas gave them a prediction of 0-10 for bowl games and they finished 5-5. Vegas predicted the final scores would average 25.2-31.5, a -6.3 point differential. Instead, they finished 30.5-35.5, only a -5 point differential (1.3 points better than expected).

After them comes the ACC. They can really thank Clemson for carrying the water for their averages (who won 40-6). Vegas had them as a -2.27 diff, but they finished only -1.64 diff (for .63 points better than expected).

Now, lets look at those that were over estimated. The SEC was supposed to be a 4.42 point favorite on average, but they finished only 2.92 points ahead, meaning they were overestimated by 1.5 points per game. If you look at just the SEC West, they were supposed to win by an average of 31-26.57, a 4.43 point spread. They failed and performed only a -4.57 point spread, giving them a 9 point (per game) over estimation. Meanwhile, the SEC East was the opposite, they over performed their Vegas estimations by 9 points per game (but since their were only 5 of them to the 7 West teams, as a whole, the conference did worse than expected).

What really hurts is the Big 12. Vegas had them going 5-2 and they only went 2-5. They underperformed by 3.7 points per game, and if not for TCU as the only bright spot forthe team, they would have been 10.3 points under expectations (Shows that TCU is the leader of the division, sorry Baylor, you are no longer in the same conversation).

Baylor sucked all along.
Ashton
Ore_Ele
Posts: 25,980
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1/6/2015 10:41:14 PM
Posted: 1 year ago
At 1/6/2015 10:40:12 PM, birdlandmemories wrote:
At 1/3/2015 7:02:33 PM, Ore_Ele wrote:
All bowl games are over and what did we learn? Well, the Pac-12 has the best offense in the land. Averaging 40.25 points per game, they were miles ahead of the next best, the SEC at 31.2 points per game.

Based on Vegas predictions for offense and defense, the most underrated conference was...

The Pac-12 with a 6 point differential from what Vegas predicted (Vegas put them at average of +5.875 and they finished with an average of +11.875)

The next most underrated was the Big Ten. Vegas gave them a prediction of 0-10 for bowl games and they finished 5-5. Vegas predicted the final scores would average 25.2-31.5, a -6.3 point differential. Instead, they finished 30.5-35.5, only a -5 point differential (1.3 points better than expected).

After them comes the ACC. They can really thank Clemson for carrying the water for their averages (who won 40-6). Vegas had them as a -2.27 diff, but they finished only -1.64 diff (for .63 points better than expected).

Now, lets look at those that were over estimated. The SEC was supposed to be a 4.42 point favorite on average, but they finished only 2.92 points ahead, meaning they were overestimated by 1.5 points per game. If you look at just the SEC West, they were supposed to win by an average of 31-26.57, a 4.43 point spread. They failed and performed only a -4.57 point spread, giving them a 9 point (per game) over estimation. Meanwhile, the SEC East was the opposite, they over performed their Vegas estimations by 9 points per game (but since their were only 5 of them to the 7 West teams, as a whole, the conference did worse than expected).

What really hurts is the Big 12. Vegas had them going 5-2 and they only went 2-5. They underperformed by 3.7 points per game, and if not for TCU as the only bright spot forthe team, they would have been 10.3 points under expectations (Shows that TCU is the leader of the division, sorry Baylor, you are no longer in the same conversation).

Baylor sucked all along.

Well, not "sucked" but they were not/are not on the same level as TCU.
"Wanting Red Rhino Pill to have gender"