At 5/15/2012 9:50:23 PM, Brain_crazy wrote:
The consensus on Climate Change within DDO seems to be that its a hoax. Yet at the same time Climate Change continues to get considerable support from the scientific community. I've seen this particular(or similar anyway) assertion get away without scrutiny in a DDO debate:
I rather assumed the greater DDO community would be more immune to the clarion call of the "skeptoids". I hate to use the term "denialist" because I think that is far too negative and dismissive, but I also dislike using the term "skeptic" since that is a scientific "virtue". One should always be skeptical of claims. But when the science is so solid that about 97% of the world's professional climate scientists believe AGW is real I tend to see a large number of people with only limited understanding of the topic play "skeptic". So I use the term "skeptoid". Skepticism borne of ignorance or only a passing familiarity with the science is hardly valid skepticism.
There are indeed a few scientists who are skeptical, but then I met a geologist years ago who expressed skepticism over plate tectonics. So it takes all kinds.
The problem with AGW (anthropogenic global warming) is that it rests on well established science established in the 19th century coupled with investigations in earnest started about 60 years ago and an exponential increase in quality of data and modeling over the past 30 years.
These days the way I get a clue that agw skepticism is on the rocks is by realizing how much in common many skeptic arguments have with creationist arguments.
Argument:
1. …..is dead!
CREATIONIST: Evolution is Dead
AGW Skeptic: Global Warming is Dead (
http://blogs.the-american-interest.com...)
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2. ….is a scam/fraud
CREATIONIST: Evolution Fraud (
http://www.nwcreation.net...)
AGW SKEPTIC: Global Warming Scam (
http://whatreallyhappened.com...)
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3. ....legitimate scientists disagree with the dominant hypothesis
CREATIONIST: Institute of Creation Research RATE Group
AGW SKEPTIC: Petition Project
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4. I don't believe it, I don't want to pay for it!
CREATIONIST: "Like it or not, you pay for faith in evolution" (WND Article) (
http://www.wnd.com...)
AGW SKEPTIC: Global Warming Tax (
http://www.foxnews.com...)
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5. The science isn't settled!
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6. …need more/better proof
CREATIONIST: Transitional fossils
AGW SKEPTIC: Better models
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I've also noted that, like Creationists who have been drug kicking and screaming into acceptance of "microevolution" but vehement denial of "macroevolution" (as if one is somehow diagnostic of another), I've noted that AGW skeptoids are slowly beginning to acquiesce that the globe is getting warmer (had to drag them into that acquiescence) but they vehemently deny human involvement or downplay human responsibiity (as if CO2 wasn't proven to be a greenhouse gas in 1850, or as if the science hasn't evolved to the point that we really understand quite a bit more about the dynamics today).
When there are as many different "versions" of AGW skepticism as their are Creationism (ranging based on how much of the science is accepted) I rather assume it will turn into the same type of debate breaking down not along scientific lines but along "political" or "faith based" lines of different sorts.
Sad thing is, unlike evolution we may run out of time to do anything meaningful before it wreaks havoc on or society. At least with evolution biologists can continue doing their work while we in the "illiteratti" bicker, but in the case of AGW we may need to make changes in our habits PDQ.
I guess, like the creationists, when the science is 100% PERFECTLY proven then maybe the "skeptoids" will agree that there is a "consensus". But since that doesn't happen in the real world I guess maybe we're facing some hard times.