There is a strong possibility that the United Kingdom's citizens will vote to leave the European Union on June 23. Many in the U.K. do not feel a strong connection to the Euro-zone because the island nation is separated from the European continent. Also, the U.K. has maintained the Sterling pound instead of adopting the Euro currency. Finally, many British workers believe that membership in the European Union has hurt their economic prospects due to lost jobs from free trade agreements.
It seems the UK wishes to have a place both in the EU and the Commonwealth. The RT Hon MP Hugo Swire insists that being in the EU complements UK's membership with the Commonwealth. There are traditional and cultural ties existing already. Actually, the tie to the Commonwealth is stronger than ever today. Therefore, the UK can have it both ways. Economic and political dealings are made in the UK with the Commonwealth. Many people from the Commonwealth reside in the UK. Some of them have the right to vote in the referendum. The majority vote will decide if UK remains part of the EU. It may be in the best interest of the UK to remain a part.
While opinion polls have shown the "Brexit" referendum as a statistical dead heat, most people think that undecided voters are more likely to decide to stay in the European Union. The argument for leaving is based mainly on nationalism. In the end, voters will more highly value the economic stability that comes with staying.
I don't believe that the United Kingdom public will vote for Brexit. A look at past elections including last year's general election and the Scottish independence referendum shows that polls tend to overemphasise the radicalism of the British public. The British have a long history of voting for the status quo when faced with a ballot paper, and for this reason I feel the voters who are currently undecided (and a few of the "leave" voters) will vote "remain" on Thursday and the UK will stay in the EU.