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2 easy ways to disprove the gambler's fallacy

 Posts: 233 Add as FriendChallenge to a DebateSend a Message 11/24/2014 6:43:42 PMPosted: 6 years agoGamber's fallacy- the mistaken belief that something will occur in a "balance" of frequency depending on how frequently it happens now.Way #1: rolling a dieLet's say you roll a die 6 times per experiment for 2 experiments. If the fallacy is true, then each number should be rolled no more or less than twice total as each number has a one in six chance of being landed on. Multiply that by your two experiments and you get a two in twelve chance. The results for the first one are as follows:1- 02- I3- I4- II5- 06- IIIf the gambler's fallacy is true, then there should be two rolls for 1 and 5 each, one roll each for 2 and 3, and NO rolls for 4 or 6. These are the results:1- 02- III3- I4- 05- II6- 0The total results are:1- 02- IIII3- II4- II5- II6- IIDo the rolls add up to twelve? Yes. Were the rolls "balanced?" no.IE you can disprove the gambler's fallacy just by playing monopoly.Way #2: With this argument:P1) If chance operated in a closed system, an event would occur less frequently later if its frequency were higher than normal now as an act of balance and vice versa.P2) Chance does not operate in a closed systemC1) Therefore "balances" of frequencies do not occurC2) Therefore the gambler's fallacy is false.
 Anonymous 11/30/2014 12:05:48 PMPosted: 6 years agoAt 11/24/2014 6:43:42 PM, Gaming_Debater wrote:Gamber's fallacy- the mistaken belief that something will occur in a "balance" of frequency depending on how frequently it happens now.Way #1: rolling a dieLet's say you roll a die 6 times per experiment for 2 experiments. If the fallacy is true, then each number should be rolled no more or less than twice total as each number has a one in six chance of being landed on. Multiply that by your two experiments and you get a two in twelve chance. The results for the first one are as follows:1- 02- I3- I4- II5- 06- IIIf the gambler's fallacy is true, then there should be two rolls for 1 and 5 each, one roll each for 2 and 3, and NO rolls for 4 or 6. These are the results:1- 02- III3- I4- 05- II6- 0The total results are:1- 02- IIII3- II4- II5- II6- IIDo the rolls add up to twelve? Yes. Were the rolls "balanced?" no.IE you can disprove the gambler's fallacy just by playing monopoly.Way #2: With this argument:P1) If chance operated in a closed system, an event would occur less frequently later if its frequency were higher than normal now as an act of balance and vice versa.P2) Chance does not operate in a closed systemThere is no information leaving the die or being added tot he die. the die and it's outcomes are a closed system. Given 6 sided die, we have a 100% certainty the number will be 1 of 6 known outcomes.The die on each roll is "reset" which is why the gambler fallacy is right, the outcomes now do not effect the rolls later on. This should also be evident in that the calculation for odds of a fair die roll do not take into account set of past outcomes or time-frame of trial.C1) Therefore "balances" of frequencies do not occurBecause the system is reset. What this "balance" is, I think is the determination of the die being fair or not. in which case your example lacks a sufficient number of trials to make such a call. If you rolled another 600 times then we could say the die was rigged or not.C2) Therefore the gambler's fallacy is false.i would say the Gambler's fallacy is true. In that it is true that this is a fallacy in determining truth.
 Posts: 28 Add as FriendChallenge to a DebateSend a Message 8/5/2018 3:16:02 PMPosted: 2 years agoI really like gambling dice and I can't say that it's a bad thing for me. I only play with money I am not afraid to lose. I invest in cryptocurrency and when BTC goes up in price significantly, I spend some on this game - https://duckdice.io...
 Posts: 3 Add as FriendChallenge to a DebateSend a Message 8/6/2018 3:08:50 PMPosted: 2 years agoHey dudes. Wanna continue your thread about the philosophy of the men's health by the way. What do you prefer? Viagra or Cialis, for example. Here https://trustmeds.com.au... you can read about trust medical treatments in Australia for example. Its my favorite website, and what is yours?
 Posts: 3 Add as FriendChallenge to a DebateSend a Message 1/3/2019 2:00:07 PMPosted: 2 years agoI would really like to recommend my favourite crypto gambling site called CyberDice. Https://cyberdice. Net. It's great design do the job!
 Posts: 3 Add as FriendChallenge to a DebateSend a Message 1/3/2019 2:00:51 PMPosted: 2 years agoI would really like to recommend my favourite crypto gambling site called CyberDice. Https://cyberdice. Net. It's great design do the job!
 Posts: 3 Add as FriendChallenge to a DebateSend a Message 1/3/2019 2:02:34 PMPosted: 2 years agoI would really like to recommend my favourite crypto gambling site called CyberDice - https://cyberdice. Net/ It's great design do the job!
 Posts: 5 Add as FriendChallenge to a DebateSend a Message 12/20/2019 5:43:48 PMPosted: 1 year agoA formal logical fallacy is a mistake in argumentation, Which is immediately noticeable, Even if one does not understand its content.An estimate of the conditional probability of a hypothesis H in the presence of a proof of E without taking into account the a priori probability of a hypothesis H and the probability that the proof of E is true. More information in this article: https://light-it. Net/blog/top-three-industries-that-use-python-for-big-data-projects/