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Where we are and what comes next

Swagnarok
Posts: 2,020
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6/16/2017 2:49:41 AM
Posted: 3 years ago
It'll take probably about two years (my guess, anyway), but the Trump investigation will eventually exhaust itself, once it has investigated every conceivable relevant lead pertaining to such.
In the meantime, the fact of this investigation and the sensationalist 24/7 media coverage of such has done a spectacular job at sinking Trump's approval rating to a low without precedent in American history. So far, nothing of substance has been produced, but that's not what really matters: any new "development" in the investigation (be it that the FBI moves on to a new suspected lead or some U.S. Senator with an axe to grind says something about how bad or impeachment-worthy Trump's actions are, or how some high-profile person like Comey is called to the witness stand in regards to the investigation) will keep the issue alive for most of Trump's term and give the illusion that the case against Trump is growing, when in reality it's just a ton of meaningless fluff.
As nothing of substance has been produced, and as nothing of substance likely will be produced, the investigation will ultimately lead nowhere, despite the fanfare and media hype surrounding it. Hence, Trump will not be impeached from office, much less actually removed from power.

If the next Presidential election was held today, Trump would lose for certain. But 2020 is another story.
Were Trump to run again in 2020, the extreme political capital invested into the Trump investigation means that the string of Democrat candidates running against him would all be sure to bring up the matter every chance they got. However, by this point the public would be so thoroughly desensitized and jaded on the matter that the Democrats in question would in effect be beating a dead horse. If Trump ran in 2020, this talking point would not be in itself enough to sink Trump, any more than "OMG evil racist" was in 2016.
But no worries on this front: Trump's probably not gonna run again. I doubt his body could handle it.

He's not gonna leave office with a +50% approval rating. But he will be vindicated eventually of the libellous allegations against him. Of this I'm reasonably confident.
Rest in Peace DDO (2007-2018)
TheDragon5
Posts: 131
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6/16/2017 11:45:42 AM
Posted: 3 years ago
At 6/16/2017 2:49:41 AM, Swagnarok wrote:
It'll take probably about two years (my guess, anyway), but the Trump investigation will eventually exhaust itself, once it has investigated every conceivable relevant lead pertaining to such.
In the meantime, the fact of this investigation and the sensationalist 24/7 media coverage of such has done a spectacular job at sinking Trump's approval rating to a low without precedent in American history. So far, nothing of substance has been produced, but that's not what really matters: any new "development" in the investigation (be it that the FBI moves on to a new suspected lead or some U.S. Senator with an axe to grind says something about how bad or impeachment-worthy Trump's actions are, or how some high-profile person like Comey is called to the witness stand in regards to the investigation) will keep the issue alive for most of Trump's term and give the illusion that the case against Trump is growing, when in reality it's just a ton of meaningless fluff.
As nothing of substance has been produced, and as nothing of substance likely will be produced, the investigation will ultimately lead nowhere, despite the fanfare and media hype surrounding it. Hence, Trump will not be impeached from office, much less actually removed from power.

If the next Presidential election was held today, Trump would lose for certain. But 2020 is another story.
Were Trump to run again in 2020, the extreme political capital invested into the Trump investigation means that the string of Democrat candidates running against him would all be sure to bring up the matter every chance they got. However, by this point the public would be so thoroughly desensitized and jaded on the matter that the Democrats in question would in effect be beating a dead horse. If Trump ran in 2020, this talking point would not be in itself enough to sink Trump, any more than "OMG evil racist" was in 2016.
But no worries on this front: Trump's probably not gonna run again. I doubt his body could handle it.

He's not gonna leave office with a +50% approval rating. But he will be vindicated eventually of the libellous allegations against him. Of this I'm reasonably confident.

Hate to say it, but if the jackass(donkey) Dems take back a majority in the house, he can probably be impeached anyway.
Never laugh at live dragons - J.R.R. Tolkien

Never believe in an article with "unnamed sources."

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