A little immigration is a good thing, but this... I personally think this will be the issue that will sink the EU. Not that all migrants are violent, or even a majority of them, but the fact is the violent crime has risen in all of the countries that have taken in immigrants, and it has risen more in the countries that have taken in the most.
It's not necessarily a problem with who the immigrants are (those cultural divides may have something to do with it), but such massive immigration, no matter who is coming in, will always be a shock to the system.
I personally believe he will get very bad in places like Germany and Sweden that took in so many, and the countries that were functionally forced to adopt migrants due to Merkel will face domestic pressure to remove themselves from the EU.
Not that the EU is something fantastic, but I nevertheless think this is a danger to Europe simply because of the increase in violence/rape and how much it has divided Eastern Europe from Western Europe and, for example, France from Germany.
We Are Becoming Despised Worldwide and We Aren't Supporting the Homeland I feel like the US is very much already in the decaying phase of its global prominence. With our outrageous national debt (granted, many other countries are in loads of debt too), backed by "faith" currency, collapsing infrastructure, disparaging wealth gap, political impasse and stagnation, civil unrest (Baltimore, Ferguson), and apathetic population, we simply cannot maintain strength at home.
Meanwhile, abroad, the BRICS nations are certainly rising. Russia is fairly unreliable, due to the economic sanctions currently in place, but it's doing its best to have China and Iran dethrone the dollar so that it can be free of our evil currency war. Brazil is most definitely growing, but it's not in the spotlight. Same with South Africa. China and India however, despite China's collapsing stock market currently, are likely to be leaders on future tech like nanotechnology, genetic engineering, quantum computing, and the future of humanity in space. I say that they are likely to be so because the talent drain to the US is slowing and a lot more startups are coming to these two countries. That, and there seems be a general shift towards the East in terms of power going on currently. The renminbi could easily displace the dollar as the king currency, if China can create deals with Iran and Russia, bypassing the dollar. And if they back the renminbi with gold.
All of this along with the fact that global tensions are rising, especially in the Ukraine region and in the East, and a lot of countries are pointing the finger at the US. The wars in the Middle East are seen as pure aggression. And with the NSA information leaked about spying on foreign officials, our popularity overseas is really declining rapidly.
This is a basic summary of why I think the US will fade out of global prominence in the next 25 years. Not collapse, mind you. Just be sort of in the background as a member of many world events, just not at the head of them.
Most major problems are either directly are indirectly linked to climate change I'm mostly just curious to see what all of you have to say, but I'll list a few reasons why I am voting yes.
Scarcity of resources, too large of a population, and hazardous developing economies, among other things, are all massive issues facing the world that are pushing the issue of climate change farther into the danger zone.
China is trying to slow its emissions, but it is very questionable how much they are actually trying and/or succeeding. Only a few years ago India and China teamed up to tell the UN that developing economies should have the right to pollute as much as they want. Recently, India has refused to announce any plan for reducing emissions in the next ten to twenty years.
Ever increasing populations in South Asia, namely India, the Middle East, Africa, and South America will put strain on consumption of resources, namely food, which might become significantly harder to produce if climate change continues.
Additionally, the already troubling scarcity of resources is causing the development giant of China to reach outside its borders into the South China Sea (yes, I know they say this is theirs, whatever) to claim oil as well as Africa for other resources. If there are not enough resources within China to maintain its growth, what about India? What about a future with a rapidly developing Africa or South America?
Just want to hear your thoughts!
This isn't a 100% yes, but I'll explain... I'm well aware that we are in some of the most peaceful times in Human history. Most, if not all, conflicts occurring right now are internal affairs such as the rise of ISIS or civil war in the Congo. However, I don't necessarily think that some sort of human transcendence of violence is the cause for this. I think fear is the cause of this. Nuclear weapons, while horrible weapons, are also the greatest deterrents of war ever. However, Noble said the same thing when he invented dynamite. He claimed the explosive would end war.
If you asked me this question even a week ago, I would have said that perhaps another cold war would occur, but there was no chance of a shooting war. Now, however, Greece's potential collapse throws a very, very strange question into the mix.
That question is that of the fall of the EU. Even with all the tensions in the South China Sea, the protests in Turkey about China, the fights on India's border with China, and the Chinese Palestinian alliance, I would contend that China or any Asian conflict will not be the starting point of a third world war. However, I would say that the CCP, not necessarily the Chinese people, but their government, would join a war if it were to break out. With that in mind, I look back at Europe, which, with Asia out of the picture, has to be the starting point of a third world war.
The potential collapse of Greece could really splinter the EU if Greece decides to leave the Euro and goes back to the Drachma. The EU is generally unpopular in England, and they still don't operate on the Euro, so England could very well leave after that. The important part is that a divided Europe, or, really, an original Europe, would place the world in a situation where Western Europe is in shambles, and Russia may want to take advantage of that, perhaps with the assistance of China.
I feel like I'm starting to ramble a little here, so I'll just sum it up. I didn't think that a shooting war was particularly likely in the next few decades before Greece voted to reject the referendum. Now, I think the chances of WWIII are much higher. That's not to say that it will happen, but the significant increase in chance is why I voted yes.
I certainly hope it doesn't.
Maybe not something on the scale of WWII, but a large scale war, yes. Considering the politicians the US has up for election (who are likely to win), I don't foresee much of a change in the US's aggressive foreign policy. With that said, it will not all be the US's fault. The Migrant Crisis in Europe will cause a lot of unneeded distress in that area of the world, a slowing global economy (mostly due to China's growing pains) or perhaps even a collapse will set the stage economically, continued tensions between Syria and NATO/US/EU and continued tensions between Russia/NATO are the beginnings of multiple fronts, continued tensions between Japan (with its remilitarization) and China (over its claims to the South China Sea) will serve as yet another theatre, low oil prices will get Saudi Arabia angry, etc., etc.
Could be totally wrong, of course. I'm more just curious of other people's opinions! :)
Your analogy doesn't work... You don't find people "shouting" about how a skyscraper evolved because it's something we can witness the construction of, and we are well aware that Humans construct buildings, skyscrapers being among them. Everything in nature, mind you, planet Earth is a matter of nature, not a man-made structure like a skyscraper, has a logical, evolutionary explanation.
Also, I think it's quite insulting and arrogant to believe that only your deity could have produced something as beautiful as existence. Additionally, if the world were created by an all powerful being, that would make the world substantially LESS beautiful in my mind because it was a completely artificial process. The fact that Earth and Humanity existence as a sheer product of statistical probability in an infinite universe is very humbling and very beautiful.