Will China experience a revolution within the next decade?

  • I think China will experience a revolution in the next decade, because they are the largest superpower, and what goes up, must come down.

    China is the largest country in the world, and they have the largest economy in the world. Their military is increasingly strong, and their power, while historically competitive, has now been taken to new heights. Considering how rapidly China is expanding and growing, I not only expect them to have wars with other countries, but also a civil revolution within their own country soon.

    Posted by: ToyMatt
  • I believe that they will experience a revolution, because Chinese citizens are beginning to act out for the sake of their rights.

    The Chinese have been oppressed for such a long period of time. So, it should not come as a surprise that change is coming. News threads are carrying an increasingly large amount of stories of simple citizens who are standing up to the government, for the sake of their liberties and freedoms. Due to this growing phenomenon, revolution is inevitable.

    Posted by: PrettyVince50
  • China will experience Insurrection

    Their workforce is demanidng better conditions, in the west of China their islamic citizens want to unify with Central Asia, Tibet wants freedom, Middle East Revolts may inspire one in China.

  • Chinese citizens do not have enough access to outside information to revolt.

    The Chinese government does all it can to control the flow of information to its citizens. There will probably not be a revolt as long as the economic condition of the people in China continues to improve as it has in the past decade. Additionally the government's ability to censor information makes it difficult for resistance groups to form and organize.

    Posted by: laddieluck
  • China will experience a revolution within the next decade because the people are not going to stand for lack of freedom.

    With the global economy and the internet, the people of China cannot be kept in the dark ages any longer. The people will revolt if the government does not respect the people's freedoms more.

    Posted by: JeffP4ri5
  • Revolution in the old-fashioned, observable "event" sense of that term is unlikely in any advanced society, and least of all one as historically comfortable with a fairly-rigid kind of control as China.

    China has, so far, shown capitalism and authoritarianism to be quite compatible (viz. a liberal democracy is no longer the necessary correlate to capitalism [cf. Zizek (though I disagree w/ 90% of his arguments)]), and it seems unlikely that resistance will break out in anything but isolated events for some time to come, certainly if media continues to be as engrossing as it is today. You can't have any empirical sort of revolution in a life lived on screens, only the play of seduction and signs (cf. Baudrillard).

    Posted by: 5h4yBri
  • China will have a revolution in the next decade if it doesn't give its people more freedoms.

    Although the people of china manufacture a good portion of the world's goods, it doesn't allow enough freedoms for its people. With the advance of cell phones, cell phone cameras and the internet, China can no longer successfully isolate its people from what goes on in the rest of the world. And with its people seeing the riches of the Western world, they will rise up to demand open information and a share of the profits it produces.

    Posted by: Nik0Interior
  • There is a very good chance China will experience a revolution. They are trying to limit the freedom their people enjoy but their people keep getting exposed to it from the internet and other sources.

    China tries to keep their people satisfied with a rising standard of living and hope this will be sufficient to keep political dissent to a minimum. But their people are exposed to things on the internet and black-market DVD movies and they want more. Even the example of Hong Kong demonstrates for greater political freedom even though they have so much prosperity compared to China. China will be hard pressed to get through the next 10 years without a major problem erupting.

    Posted by: ddeathnote
  • I believe China will experience a revolution in the next decade based on the economic changes the country is currently experiencing.

    China is one of the most rapidly growing economies in the world. Industrial and commercial expansion is at an all time high. With this growth comes increased employment, salaries and demand for consumer products. This will be accompanied by a shift towards capitalism as people with increased earning potential, higher standard of living and global awareness.

    Posted by: R3n5God2iIIa
  • I think China will experience a revolution within the next decade.

    I think China will experience a revolution within the next decade. The communist regime will start to get old for some people living in China and they will be ready for a new leader. This will cause the start of the revolution. Additionally, many people in China will be ready to lead their lives in their own ways -- for instance, determining how many children and of what sex they will have. Because of this, I can see a revolution for the country in the coming years.

    Posted by: ObaICheese
  • The communist in China is too strong.The only way the people will win is an asteroid as big as Texas drop on Beijing without warning

    There is no way the people in China can win over the communist party in china. If there is ever a revolution in 21st century China will be a bloody one. Many people will have die. No one will give up the power and wealth they have. Sadly the more people you have the more problem you have.

  • China's people have been brainwashed into meek subservient sheep by propaganda and censorship. Chinese revolution is not plausible because the government has too much control.

    The Chinese government controls the population so well, that they do not even know they are being oppressed. This brainwashing starts from a very young age and it is not likely that a revolution will happen any time soon. Those who do speak out are often dealt with very quickly and brutally. With the use of censorship, propaganda and surveillance, the government controls absolutely everything. Even if a revolution does spark even a little, it is immediately stamped out. Unless there is some outside assistance to educate the people about basic rights, there can be no revolution for the people.

  • No, it isn't politically feasible or realistic.

    One of the first obstacles to Chinese democracy is the structure of the Party-State system itself. The president, that is, the Head of State, occupies the top state billet despite the fact that he can technically be removed from office by the National People’s Congress (NPC) (Charlton 2009, 224-225). This is contrary to democratic practices seen in the United States where the president has an extremely influential position but has powers that do not exceed that of Congress or the Supreme Court and vice versa. Simply, the Chinese government does not have a system of checks and balances normally seen in fully functioning democracies. In China, the President is mostly a symbolic position and he has relatively limited authority compared to the Premier, who is the head of government and exercises enormous autonomy and authority. However, it is possible for an individual to hold multiple billets to give an individual more authority, as is the case with the current president, Xi Jinping. The organization of the Chinese Communist Party is also a self-licking ice cream cone; the Politburo nominates members of the Central Committee as the Central Committee elects members of the Politburo (Chartlon 2009, 227). Members of the government are unlikely to not support their immediate leaders who are supporting them.

    Democratic governments generally feature a civil service that does not answer to any particular party. In China, the entire civil service, as well as the military, is subordinate to the Communist Party (Charlton 2009, 229). Because of the history and ideology behind Mao Zedong and his party, implementing democratic institutions would require a complete abandonment of communism. This is unlikely to happen as doing so would admit ideological, and thus, political defeat by China in the face of Western competition. China remained a communist state long after Mao’s death, and the current success of China’s massive economy is not going to provide an incentive for abandoning communism (Perry 2007, 1). The ongoing disconnect between regional and central governments as well as the glaring disparity between rural and urban quality of life would further contribute to the difficulty of establishing a democracy in China (Charlton 2009, 241). For a revolution to occur in the same way it did, the country would need to be in political upheaval in the way it was when the nationalists and communists were fighting for power. Although China has its own problems, the current situation is not restive enough for a revolution to spark (Perry 2007, 5-6).

    Reference List:

    Charlton, Sue Ellen M.. 2009. Comparing Asian Politics : India, China, and Japan. Boulder, CO, USA: Westview Press. Accessed January 19, 2015. ProQuest ebrary.

    Perry, Elizabeth J. 2007. “STUDYING CHINESE POLITICS: FAREWELL TO REVOLUTION?” The China Journal (57): 1-22. Accessed January 19, 2015.

  • Regional rebellions are plausable, but revolution is unlikely

    The current economy, though slowing of late, will keep most of the Chinese citizens happy with the current state of affairs. Additionally, the government is currently too powerful for widespread revolt excluding the possibility of massive foreign destabilization. I can imagine smaller regional conflicts arising, but nothing further in the next decade

  • Regional rebellions are plausable, but revolution is unlikely

    The current economy, though slowing of late, will keep most of the Chinese citizens happy with the current state of affairs. Additionally, the government is currently too powerful for widespread revolt excluding the possibility of massive foreign destabilization. I can imagine smaller regional conflicts arising, but nothing further in the next decade

  • China will not have a revolution in next few years

    Most chinese, especially who live in countryside, are not literate enough. They would not go against the government, as long as there have money to make and food to feed, and they could not see what a revolution could bring to them.
    Secondly, there is no other party in China could replace the Communist Party, which is at the overwhelming advantage compared to other parties. In other word, chinese have no choice but obey the ruling of Communist Party. They have no alternative better solution.
    Thirdly, chinese elites are on the movement of move out of china. The most rich, smartest people in china turn out to be citizens in other countries, because they don't believe the whole revolution thing would work out.

  • The people are too distracted

    The average Chinese are used to strict rule and will not openly revolt. Also most Chinese living in the cities are too worried about making money to rebel. I think that as a long as there is money to be made and food to be eaten the people will not do anything crazy.

  • China will not experience a revolution in the next ten years, because things are going too well.

    It's true that Chinese society is changing rapidly, and that lower and rural classes are being somewhat left out of the industrialization and rapid urbanization of their country. However, a lot of this growth and change is planned and managed by a central authority with absolute power. Western nations that also underwent this transformation without governments getting overthrown, and Beijing is managing their change.

    Posted by: FlakyHerb64
  • Unlike other countries in recent times, I do not believe that China will be experiencing a revolution any time in the near future.

    In spite of the success of revolutions in other countries, in recent years, I do not believe that China will be experiencing any revolutions any time soon, let alone in the next decade. China, in contrast to those other countries, and in spite of its many human rights abuses, is a rather stable and rich country.

    Posted by: BrownDustin82
  • They will experience a revolution, but I doubt it will happen in the next decade.

    This is a typical characteristic of Chinese history: they always have revolutions where the latest dynasty is overthrown and a new one rises up in its place. While Communist China may not be technically termed a 'dynasty' by some it is basically the same thing, and is likely to follow in the footsteps of previous Chinese dynasties. When this will happen is not predictable.

    Posted by: MariaR

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