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I think it will be close, but Liz announced that she would be running too late, while there was ample time for bsh1 to develop and discuss his platform. YYW's post may have convinced some to bsh1's side as well (his attack at Liz is not favourable for bsh, but bsh made it very clear that YYW made the post, not him). bsh's side also has a more detailed platform, and he does give the impression that he'll do more than Liz for the site (which isn't to say that Liz won't do much).