Will China eventually surpass the United States economically and militarily?

Posted by: Rezamee

  • Yes, China has a larger population, meaning more economic and military potential.

  • No, China has the numbers, but they lack the means to overcome the United States anytime soon.

17% 2 votes
83% 10 votes
  • Economically, absolutely, although this really isn't surprising or our fault, as some would suggest. China has already passed us as the world's largest trading nation and as the nation with the world's largest purchasing power parity. They won't pass us in total GDP for some time (perhaps 20 years or so), but, at any rate, they will pass us. The reason for this is quite simple, and it is the reason for pretty much every gain that China has ever had: it has a metric assload of people. More people equals more people to tax and to buy things. The only reason that we've been so far ahead of them for the past few centuries (a mere blip in the historical timeline) is because we've been more advanced and less isolationist, but with China embracing capitalism and civil rights more and more lately, their economy has been flourishing and advancing, and the country's sheer manpower is enough to eventually propel it into superpower status. Now, that is, again, economically speaking, and for a long time after China gains economic superiority, the U.S. will continue to be the word's cultural, military, and political hegemon. I mean, Britain remained so until the end of WWII or, arguably, the early 1950's, even though the U.S. had had a larger economy since perhaps as early as the 1880's. Inevitably, though, the U.S. will recede, just as all nations do. China is no exception either, and its One Child policy will only accelerate its decline. I have a theory on what specifically makes nations rise and fall, but this comment is running long, so I can message anyone if they're interested. Suffice to say that I think India will probably overtake China's population and economy a few decades after China overtakes the U.S.'s economy.

  • They'll certainly pass the USA regarding GDP. In other aspects, i'm not so sure.

  • GDP wise, maybe but I still think the U.S economy will manage for quite a long time. Militarily wise, it's pretty much impossible. The U.S is decades ahead of China in national defense.

  • I read somewhere a year or two ago that China is about to have a major clean water problem but I can't remember where I got this info so I don't know if I can trust it's validity

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Vox_Veritas says2015-09-13T19:52:37.5823576Z
Probably, though I think China's economic growth is beginning to slow. There's a fair chance that China's economy will ultimately stabilize at a fairly low rate of annual GDP growth and end up more or less permanently occupying the position as the world's second largest economy.
PericIes says2015-09-13T20:15:39.4345888Z
I'd like to point out something humorous: The graph for "yes" says that China's G.D.P. would pass up that of the U.S.'s a year ago, and it hasn't yet, lol. I mean, I still think that the Chinese will eventually pass us up, but it's important to take projections with a grain of salt, as that graph exemplifies.
Midnight1131 says2015-09-14T00:10:47.3852489Z
Actually, a lot of China is still underdeveloped. Besides the major cities, they still lag behind in education and development.
triangle.128k says2015-09-14T00:14:50.7312088Z
@Midnight1131 What's wrong with their education?
triangle.128k says2015-09-14T00:15:15.3169664Z
A lot of China is developed, the big cities are pretty rich and developed. It's mainly the rural farmland that's poor and less developed.
tajshar2k says2015-09-14T00:15:55.4920110Z
It's all about just marks. No innovation or creativity.
tajshar2k says2015-09-14T00:17:24.7731002Z
Their education system is just all book smart. You can't blame the students, because their forced to do it.
PericIes says2015-09-14T00:24:28.8543738Z
It looks like China doesn't like to give data on their level of education (http://www.Bbc.Com/news/business-32608772), so I really don't know.
Midnight1131 says2015-09-14T00:31:47.0072082Z
Inequality in spending. In some underdeveloped provinces the education spending is 5-6 times less than others.
Midnight1131 says2015-09-14T00:32:56.7097954Z
Yeah triangle, that's what I said, the less developed provinces still lag behind.
triangle.128k says2015-09-14T00:38:51.6500454Z
@tajshar2k A lot of chinese students study abroad frequently. At least like 30% of chinese or something study at american universities.
tajshar2k says2015-09-14T00:39:44.6435851Z
I'm talking about Chinese kids in China. You asked what was wrong with Chinese education.
triangle.128k says2015-09-14T00:41:52.0999230Z
I know, I just looked a bit into China's education system and it looks worse than I previously thought.
tajshar2k says2015-09-14T00:43:30.5018329Z
I remember you said before you would support cutting summer break so America can compete with China. China isn't all that great. If you look at Finland, they give no homework, tons of playing time, and their kids receive better education.
triangle.128k says2015-09-14T00:46:14.2248824Z
Well I have second thoughts now. You could study abroad in another country, take some summer camps, or whatever to study over the summer. After all, you do need to work in the summer to get into a good college.
triangle.128k says2015-09-14T00:46:14.3894482Z
Well I have second thoughts now. You could study abroad in another country, take some summer camps, or whatever to study over the summer.
triangle.128k says2015-09-14T00:46:40.9166535Z
Sorry for the double post, this site is lagging like hell.
triangle.128k says2015-09-14T00:47:37.7322177Z
But I think summer break should be cut to an extent.. A 3 month summer break creates some problems.
tajshar2k says2015-09-14T00:59:24.1284974Z
Not really. I think after 8 months of school, a 3 month break is pretty adequate.
triangle.128k says2015-09-14T01:11:22.9105534Z
Well you could take a break and relax, or you could work during the summer and get into a really good college. I'm sure nearly everyone in the ivy league schools never rested during the summer.
triangle.128k says2015-09-14T01:13:10.4732429Z
But I think maybe a 2.5 or 2 month break would be better.
chandlerrouse says2015-09-15T03:27:38.0234717Z

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